Believable ROI and Win %

the_fat_man · #1 06-05-2009, 01:27 PM

With all these races being taken off the turf (BEL and just about everywhere else on the eastern part) I've been reading (on that other forum) about some extraordinary claims concerning ROI and Win %.

What would be a believable win % for win bets?

What would be a believable win % for exotics bets?

What would be a believable ROI for win bets?

What would be a believable ROI for exotic bets?

What would be a believable ROI for all bets?

Looking more for empirically grounded responses.

gales0678 · #2 06-05-2009, 01:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the_fat_man

With all these races being taken off the turf (BEL and just about everywhere else on the eastern part) I've been reading (on that other forum) about some extraordinary claims concerning ROI and Win %.

What would be a believable win % for win bets? 15-20 %

What would be a believable win % for exotics bets? 7 - 10 %

What would be a believable ROI for win bets? $5.50

What would be a believable ROI for exotic bets? $8.00

What would be a believable ROI for all bets? $6.50

Looking more for empirically grounded responses.

take a look fat , let me know what you think - the exotics i based on ex's only

#3 06-05-2009, 01:42 PM

What is this a quiz?

Professor Obessio in the hiz-ouse.

My answer is you can't believe 99% of the posts on Face Disadvantage.

Antitrust32 · #4 06-05-2009, 01:48 PM

I dont really believe anyone who say they make money gambling on horses.

gales0678 · #5 06-05-2009, 01:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Antitrust32

I dont really believe anyone who say they make money gambling on horses.

lori i think he may just be talking about today or the last few days

so it's very possible that there are some + roi's out there

the_fat_man · #6 06-05-2009, 01:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by gales0678

lori i think he may just be talking about today or the last few days

so it's very possible that there are some + roi's out there

No

There's someone claiming a high ROI and Win % for over 900 races (over the course of 1 year).

the_fat_man · #7 06-05-2009, 02:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Antitrust32

I dont really believe anyone who say they make money gambling on horses.

This was probably more the case 20 or 30 years ago than it is today. With access to all the tracks presently operating, one need no longer be limited and could play to their strength(s). It's not about taking what your local track gives you and make the best of it any longer.

Antitrust32 · #8 06-05-2009, 02:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the_fat_man

This was probably more the case 20 or 30 years ago than it is today. With access to all the tracks presently operating, one need no longer be limited and could play to their strength(s). It's not about taking what your local track gives you and make the best of it any longer.

That does makes sense... go through the different tracks and make one or two bets that you feel very comfortable with. Would take a ton of skill and discipline. But I'm willing to lower my percentage to 99% of horseplayers lose $ instead of 99.9%.

Question for you, would it even be possible to have a positive ROI by making win bets only?

Or is multi-race bets the only way?