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#1
08-23-2014, 06:46 AM
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8/23: Saratoga (Travers Day)
SARATOGA RACE COURSE
POST-SCRATCHES 1st: MSW, 3+, 7f (P5, P3, DD) Tough opener with older maidens and some nice looking ones at that.. Most Likely: #5 Three Alarm Fire 3-1 WON ($5.10) Next Best: #7 Liam's Map 5-2 2nd Best Value: #1e Brushwood entry 10-1 6th/9th Exotics Use: #8 Cosmic Gold 7-2 4th 2nd: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #2 Face the Music 5-2 WON ($6.40) Best Value: #3 Imperia 8-1 2nd Next Best: #9 Potthast 3-1 6th Exotics Use: #1 Incremental 4-1 3rd 3rd: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD) Best Value: #1 Poliziotto 6-1 9th Next Best: #7 Hidden Vow 7-2 6th Exotics Use: #3 Ocala Jim 4-1 WON ($9.70) Super Add: #6 John Bailey 5-1 5th 4th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P3, DD) Deep group of well intentioned juvies. Those with experience, and exiting well rated events, merit slight edge.. Most Likely: #6 Waging War 7-2 5th Next Best: #8 Today's Agenda 4-1 3rd Best Value: #5 Frosted 6-1 2nd Exotics Use: #7 Bayerd 5-1 WON ($19.00) 5th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD) Most Likely: #3 Stock Fund 6-1 5th Best Value: #6 Luna Time 8-1 9th Next Best: #9 Divine Luck 3-1 7th Exotics Use: #2 Chat 5-1 WON ($12.60) P5/P4 Grid: 1: 5 (A), 1-7 (B), 8 (C) 2: 2 (A), 3 (B), 1-4-5-9 (C) 3: 1-7 (A), 3-6 (B), 4-10 (C) 4: 6 (A), 8 (B), 2-5-7 (C) 5: 3 (A), 6-9 (B), 1-2-5-7 (C) Simple Main (A/B's): 3x2x4x2x3 = $72 Full (A/B/C's): $40 P4 Grid: 2: 2-3 (A), 1-9 (B), 4-5 (C) 3: 1-7 (A), 3-6 (B), 4-10 (C) 4: 6-8 (A), 5 (B), 2-7 (C) 5: 3 (A), 6-9 (B), 1-2-5-7 (C) Simple Main (A/B's): 4x4x3x3 = $72 Full (A/B/C's): $78 6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD) Best Value: #5 Cashmere Cat 12-1 2nd Next Best: #4 Shatak 8-1 3rd Exotics Use: #8 McIlroy 3-1 WON ($6.90) Super Add: #10 Lawyer Jim 5-1 7th 7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD) Best Value: #6 Eddy Gourmet Late SCR-Gate/Vet Next Best: #10 Divided Attention 3-1 WON ($5.00) Exotics Use: #2 Shayjolie 4-1 2nd Super Add: #8 Madre Ditutticapi 12-1 7th 8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD) Most Likely: #4 Bad Debt 3-1 4th Best Value: #7 Shining Copper 10-1 WON ($13.40) Next Best: #2 North Slope 7-2 3rd Exotics Use: #10 Top Striker 8-1 6th 9th: 26th Ballston Spa (G2), F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD) SCR of Dayatthespa for tomorrow's Yaddo leaves field at mercy of emergent Filimbi.. Most Likely: #7 Filimbi 2-1 6th Best Value: #2 Centre Court 5-1 4th Next Best: #3 Abaco 4-1 WON ($10.60) 10th: 30th King's Bishop (G1), 3yo, 7f (P3, DD) Unusual gathering for this.. Best Value: #3 Myositis Dan 12-1 7th Next Best: #7 The Big Beast 5-2 WON ($7.70) Exotics Use: #6 Fast Anna 6-1 2nd Super Add: #2 Wildcat Red 4-1 5th 11th: 36th Ballerina (G1), F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD) Best Value: #9 Geeky Gorgeous 20-1 7th Next Best: #4 My Miss Aurelia 3-1 2nd Exotics Use: #5 Willet 6-1 3rd Super Add: #1 Artemis Agrotera 5-1 WON ($10.60) 12th: 145th Travers (G1), 3yo, 10f (P3, DD) In this spot, how can you not give McGaughey and Mr Speaker every chance at by far the best price available among contenders? Best Value: #10 Mr Speaker 10-1 5th Next Best: #6 Tonalist 3-1 3rd Exotics Use: #8 Kid Cruz 12-1 4th Super Add: #5 Viva Majorca 20-1 6th P4 Grid: 9: 7 (A), - (B), 2-3-4 (C) 10: 3-6-7 (A), 2-8 (B), 1-4-5 (C) 11: 4-9 (A), 1-5 (B), 2-6-8 (C) 12: 6-10 (A), 2-7-8 (B), 1-3-5 (C) Simple Main (A/B's): 1x5x4x5 = $50 Full (A/B/C's): $86 13th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (DD) Most Likely: #3 Invading Humor 4-1 WON ($12.80) Best Value: #6 Equilateral 6-1 6th Next Best: #4 Fizzy Pink 5-2 8th Exotics Use: #5 Sky Painter 3-1 2nd 14th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-IT Best Value: #2 Macagone 8-1 2nd Next Best: #5 Morning Calm 3-1 WON ($8.80) Exotics Use: #8 Toy Cannon 8-1 4th Super Add: #3 Thurgood 7-2 7th P4 Grid: 11: 4-9 (A), - (B), 1-5-6-8 (C) 12: 6-10 (A), 2-7-8 (B), 3-5 (C) 13: 3-6 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C) 14: 2-5 (A), 3-8 (B), 6-10 (C) Simple Main (A/B's): 2x5x4x4 = $80 Full (A/B/C's): $100 Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 08-24-2014 at 02:16 AM. 
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#2
08-23-2014, 08:52 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#4
08-23-2014, 11:21 AM
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Quote:
Steve Crist's A-B-C-X method: http://www.drf.com/news/abcs-multi-race-betting Here's an intro to the concept he wrote for Hello Race Fans: http://helloracefans.com/features/le...o-exotic-bets/ Basically, look at a P4 like this: A-A-A-A B-A-A-A A-B-A-A A-A-B-A A-A-A-B C-A-A-A A-C-A-A A-A-C-A A-A-A-C Let's you use your budget most effectively, covering more combinations austerely and/or weighing more heavily on your most preferred choices in the legs.. Order the book here: http://www.amazon.com/Exotic-Betting.../dp/1932910921 G/L!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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