Derby Trail Forums - 8/23: Saratoga (Travers Day)

SARATOGA RACE COURSE

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: MSW, 3+, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Tough opener with older maidens and some nice looking ones at that..

Most Likely: #5 Three Alarm Fire 3-1 WON ($5.10)
Next Best: #7 Liam's Map 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #1e Brushwood entry 10-1 6th/9th
Exotics Use: #8 Cosmic Gold 7-2 4th

2nd: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Face the Music 5-2 WON ($6.40)
Best Value: #3 Imperia 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Potthast 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Incremental 4-1 3rd

3rd: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Poliziotto 6-1 9th
Next Best: #7 Hidden Vow 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Ocala Jim 4-1 WON ($9.70)
Super Add: #6 John Bailey 5-1 5th

4th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Deep group of well intentioned juvies. Those with experience, and exiting well rated events, merit slight edge..

Most Likely: #6 Waging War 7-2 5th
Next Best: #8 Today's Agenda 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Frosted 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Bayerd 5-1 WON ($19.00)

5th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Stock Fund 6-1 5th
Best Value: #6 Luna Time 8-1 9th
Next Best: #9 Divine Luck 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Chat 5-1 WON ($12.60)

P5/P4 Grid:

1: 5 (A), 1-7 (B), 8 (C)
2: 2 (A), 3 (B), 1-4-5-9 (C)
3: 1-7 (A), 3-6 (B), 4-10 (C)
4: 6 (A), 8 (B), 2-5-7 (C)
5: 3 (A), 6-9 (B), 1-2-5-7 (C)

Simple Main (A/B's): 3x2x4x2x3 = $72
Full (A/B/C's): $40

P4 Grid:

2: 2-3 (A), 1-9 (B), 4-5 (C)
3: 1-7 (A), 3-6 (B), 4-10 (C)
4: 6-8 (A), 5 (B), 2-7 (C)
5: 3 (A), 6-9 (B), 1-2-5-7 (C)

Simple Main (A/B's): 4x4x3x3 = $72
Full (A/B/C's): $78

6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Cashmere Cat 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Shatak 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 McIlroy 3-1 WON ($6.90)
Super Add: #10 Lawyer Jim 5-1 7th

7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Eddy Gourmet Late SCR-Gate/Vet
Next Best: #10 Divided Attention 3-1 WON ($5.00)
Exotics Use: #2 Shayjolie 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Madre Ditutticapi 12-1 7th

8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Bad Debt 3-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Shining Copper 10-1 WON ($13.40)
Next Best: #2 North Slope 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Top Striker 8-1 6th

9th: 26th Ballston Spa (G2), F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

SCR of Dayatthespa for tomorrow's Yaddo leaves field at mercy of emergent Filimbi..

Most Likely: #7 Filimbi 2-1 6th
Best Value: #2 Centre Court 5-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Abaco 4-1 WON ($10.60)

10th: 30th King's Bishop (G1), 3yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Unusual gathering for this..

Best Value: #3 Myositis Dan 12-1 7th
Next Best: #7 The Big Beast 5-2 WON ($7.70)
Exotics Use: #6 Fast Anna 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Wildcat Red 4-1 5th

11th: 36th Ballerina (G1), F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Geeky Gorgeous 20-1 7th
Next Best: #4 My Miss Aurelia 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Willet 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Artemis Agrotera 5-1 WON ($10.60)

12th: 145th Travers (G1), 3yo, 10f (P3, DD)

In this spot, how can you not give McGaughey and Mr Speaker every chance at by far the best price available among contenders?

Best Value: #10 Mr Speaker 10-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Tonalist 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Kid Cruz 12-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Viva Majorca 20-1 6th

P4 Grid:

9: 7 (A), - (B), 2-3-4 (C)
10: 3-6-7 (A), 2-8 (B), 1-4-5 (C)
11: 4-9 (A), 1-5 (B), 2-6-8 (C)
12: 6-10 (A), 2-7-8 (B), 1-3-5 (C)

Simple Main (A/B's): 1x5x4x5 = $50
Full (A/B/C's): $86

13th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Invading Humor 4-1 WON ($12.80)
Best Value: #6 Equilateral 6-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Fizzy Pink 5-2 8th
Exotics Use: #5 Sky Painter 3-1 2nd

14th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-IT

Best Value: #2 Macagone 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Morning Calm 3-1 WON ($8.80)
Exotics Use: #8 Toy Cannon 8-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Thurgood 7-2 7th

P4 Grid:

11: 4-9 (A), - (B), 1-5-6-8 (C)
12: 6-10 (A), 2-7-8 (B), 3-5 (C)
13: 3-6 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C)
14: 2-5 (A), 3-8 (B), 6-10 (C)

Simple Main (A/B's): 2x5x4x4 = $80
Full (A/B/C's): $100

Good luck!
Steve