Quote:
Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis
Andy Beyer just wrote a column on exactly this:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/sports...499_story.html
I don't necessarily agree with this, principally the contention that his case would be bolstered had Lucky Pulpit produced a few more graded stakes winners. The reality is that through 2013 - 2014, as a sire LP has a total of 102 runners on the track. Mostly all of which are out of modest, at best, CA bred mares.
I don't think there is any argument that CC's mare was cheap, but there are a lot of mares that never ran, which in turn were highly productive broodmares (I don't think Zenyatta's mare was anything special on the track for instance).
With CC being a first foal and Lucky Pulpit's books being thin in quality, there is enough of a wildcard to assume taking a chance on both with some decent quality broodmare stock, even if only for 2 or 3 seasons. I'd say his value, should he win the Belmont, could be assessed north of 30 million dollars, and is why most assume that he won't ever run again should he pull it off.
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Good article by Beyer. Best comparison that I can think of is Tiznow, and he was from a dam that had produced other good horses before him (such as Budroyale), unlike dam of California Chrome. Tiznow's first year stud fee was $30,000.