Quote:
Originally Posted by cakes44
Oh he'll be 1/5. Problem is, there's 3-4 horses in there that would be life and death in a 90 BSF maiden race. By the time the race starts, he'll be tough to bet against in the top spot. It will probably be cold exacta time.
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He won't be anything close to 1-5 unless we get a lot more defections. Tonalist, Wicked Strong, Commanding Curve, and Right on Curlin will all get play. Those odds that Dunbar posted from Bookmaker should be in the ballpark if those horses run. CC will be around 4-5, Wicked Strong 6-1 or so, Tonalist 7-1 or so, Commanding Curve 8-1 or so, and Ride on Curlin 8-1 or so.
If CC was 1-5, that would mean all those other horses would be around 20-1 apiece. That's not going to happen.
The big offshore books are always in the right ballpark on the odds. If they weren't they would go out of business. They're not going to give you even money on a 1-5 shot.
05-27-2014, 08:07 PM
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