NCAA Football betting thread.....

hi_im_god · #1 09-26-2013, 07:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

Im going to show a profit. I have $2000 limit. I will profit. I was almost done after 3 games. 2 games sunday ended on last minute plays to go the other way. Then I was so disgusted I never even played Miami at 4. Ill show a profit.

if your bankroll is $2000, why are you regularly risking 25% and more in a single day?

even if there was some basis for your confidence that you can bet profitably, the % of bankroll risked is essentially leaving everything to chance.

I don't know what kind of edge you imagine you have but even if it's as high as being able to win 60% (which would be laughable) you risk going broke before that edge could be asserted over the long run.

you've got more than 15% of your bankroll in a single game tonight. and then more than 10% in a second game. who in their right mind bets like that?

RockHardTen1985 · #2 09-26-2013, 07:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hi_im_god

if your bankroll is $2000, why are you regularly risking 25% and more in a single day?

even if there was some basis for your confidence that you can bet profitably, the % of bankroll risked is essentially leaving everything to chance.

I don't know what kind of edge you imagine you have but even if it's as high as being able to win 60% (which would be laughable) you risk going broke before that edge could be asserted over the long run.

you've got more than 15% of your bankroll in a single game tonight. and then more than 10% in a second game. who in their right mind bets like that?

I do. Its my style. Fast and out of control. Ill show a profit. I am confident in my system. I use donbest.com to track line movement, I stay against the public 75% of the time, at least. Im staying away from totals. I have a trend of losing totals and now Im finished with them. Ill be fine, Ill profit.

Cannon Shell · #3 09-27-2013, 01:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

I do. Its my style. Fast and out of control. Ill show a profit. I am confident in my system. I use donbest.com to track line movement, I stay against the public 75% of the time, at least. Im staying away from totals. I have a trend of losing totals and now Im finished with them. Ill be fine, Ill profit.

Just keep em coming

randallscott35 · #4 09-27-2013, 01:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

I do. Its my style. Fast and out of control. Ill show a profit. I am confident in my system. I use donbest.com to track line movement, I stay against the public 75% of the time, at least. Im staying away from totals. I have a trend of losing totals and now Im finished with them. Ill be fine, Ill profit.

I believe in you.

RockHardTen1985 · #5 09-28-2013, 09:34 AM

Minus $340 total.......

LSU plus 3.5, $220/200
Notre Dame plus 3.5, $330/300
East Carolina plus 13.5, $330/300
Purdue plus 3.5, $220/200

Danzig · #6 09-28-2013, 10:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

Minus $340 total.......

LSU plus 3.5, $220/200Notre Dame plus 3.5, $330/300
East Carolina plus 13.5, $330/300
Purdue plus 3.5, $220/200

you've probably been betting on the 'skins too. thanks, thanks a LOT!

RockHardTen1985 · #7 09-28-2013, 10:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig

you've probably been betting on the 'skins too. thanks, thanks a LOT!

I bet them opening week vs Philly. I took GB WEEK 2. N lost back on Wash vs Lions last week.

hoovesupsideyourhead · #8 09-28-2013, 11:05 AM

'I do. Its my style. Fast and out of control.'..lol

Miami (FL)
9 a.m at South Florida
Favorite
Point spread -17 miami and the points

lead pipe lock of the day..

fsu and the over.

Sep. 28 Florida State
12:30 p.m. at Boston College
Favorite FSU FSU FSU
Point spread - -24
Total 53½o/u