NCAA Football betting thread.....

RockHardTen1985 · #1 09-22-2013, 10:50 AM

Plus $170 yesterday. Minus $60 total.

Chargers plus 3....$110/100
Chargers plus 125 money line $100/125
Ravens plus 1.5.....$220/200
Rams plus 3.5......$220/200
Cardinals plus 7.5.....$220/200
Redskins pick....$220/200
Packers minus 3....$110/100

MaTH716 · #2 09-22-2013, 12:08 PM

Not sure if this is a heart bet or not but just can't see them going to 0/3.

Giants -130. 260/200

RockHardTen1985 · #3 09-22-2013, 12:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MaTH716

Not sure if this is a heart bet or not but just can't see them going to 0/3.

Giants -130. 260/200

Good luck Matthew. I thought that game could go either way.

jms62 · #4 09-23-2013, 06:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

Plus $170 yesterday. Minus $60 total.

Chargers plus 3....$110/100
Chargers plus 125 money line $100/125
Ravens plus 1.5.....$220/200
Rams plus 3.5......$220/200
Cardinals plus 7.5.....$220/200
Redskins pick....$220/200
Packers minus 3....$110/100

I look at betting football like trying to show a profit betting odds on favorites at the track. A very difficult task indeed. Maybe you will come to that conclusion before you dig yourself too deep a hole.

RockHardTen1985 · #5 09-26-2013, 06:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62

I look at betting football like trying to show a profit betting odds on favorites at the track. A very difficult task indeed. Maybe you will come to that conclusion before you dig yourself too deep a hole.

Im going to show a profit. I have $2000 limit. I will profit. I was almost done after 3 games. 2 games sunday ended on last minute plays to go the other way. Then I was so disgusted I never even played Miami at 4. Ill show a profit.

RockHardTen1985 · #6 09-26-2013, 06:32 PM

Minus $540 going into tonight.

Rams plus 3.5, $220/200
Rams moneyline plus 160.....$100/160

Virgina Tech plus 7.5, $330/300
Virginia Tech moneyline plus 220.....$100/220

RockHardTen1985 · #7 09-26-2013, 08:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

Minus $540 going into tonight.

Rams plus 3.5, $220/200
Rams moneyline plus 160.....$100/160

Virgina Tech plus 7.5, $330/300
Virginia Tech moneyline plus 220.....$100/220

I have literally waited 2 years for Logan Thomas to start a game like this. I just hope he keeps it up.

RockHardTen1985 · #8 09-26-2013, 11:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

Minus $540 going into tonight.

Rams plus 3.5, $220/200
Rams moneyline plus 160.....$100/160

Virgina Tech plus 7.5, $330/300
Virginia Tech moneyline plus 220.....$100/220

St Louis is HORRIBLE.

Plus $200 for the night, Minus $340 total.

hi_im_god · #9 09-26-2013, 08:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

Im going to show a profit. I have $2000 limit. I will profit. I was almost done after 3 games. 2 games sunday ended on last minute plays to go the other way. Then I was so disgusted I never even played Miami at 4. Ill show a profit.

if your bankroll is $2000, why are you regularly risking 25% and more in a single day?

even if there was some basis for your confidence that you can bet profitably, the % of bankroll risked is essentially leaving everything to chance.

I don't know what kind of edge you imagine you have but even if it's as high as being able to win 60% (which would be laughable) you risk going broke before that edge could be asserted over the long run.

you've got more than 15% of your bankroll in a single game tonight. and then more than 10% in a second game. who in their right mind bets like that?

RockHardTen1985 · #10 09-26-2013, 08:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hi_im_god

if your bankroll is $2000, why are you regularly risking 25% and more in a single day?

even if there was some basis for your confidence that you can bet profitably, the % of bankroll risked is essentially leaving everything to chance.

I don't know what kind of edge you imagine you have but even if it's as high as being able to win 60% (which would be laughable) you risk going broke before that edge could be asserted over the long run.

you've got more than 15% of your bankroll in a single game tonight. and then more than 10% in a second game. who in their right mind bets like that?

I do. Its my style. Fast and out of control. Ill show a profit. I am confident in my system. I use donbest.com to track line movement, I stay against the public 75% of the time, at least. Im staying away from totals. I have a trend of losing totals and now Im finished with them. Ill be fine, Ill profit.

Cannon Shell · #11 09-27-2013, 02:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

I do. Its my style. Fast and out of control. Ill show a profit. I am confident in my system. I use donbest.com to track line movement, I stay against the public 75% of the time, at least. Im staying away from totals. I have a trend of losing totals and now Im finished with them. Ill be fine, Ill profit.

Just keep em coming

randallscott35 · #12 09-27-2013, 02:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

I do. Its my style. Fast and out of control. Ill show a profit. I am confident in my system. I use donbest.com to track line movement, I stay against the public 75% of the time, at least. Im staying away from totals. I have a trend of losing totals and now Im finished with them. Ill be fine, Ill profit.

I believe in you.

RockHardTen1985 · #13 09-28-2013, 10:34 AM

Minus $340 total.......

LSU plus 3.5, $220/200
Notre Dame plus 3.5, $330/300
East Carolina plus 13.5, $330/300
Purdue plus 3.5, $220/200

Cannon Shell · #14 09-23-2013, 01:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

Plus $170 yesterday. Minus $60 total.

Chargers plus 3....$110/100
Chargers plus 125 money line $100/125
Ravens plus 1.5.....$220/200
Rams plus 3.5......$220/200
Cardinals plus 7.5.....$220/200
Redskins pick....$220/200
Packers minus 3....$110/100

Damn Ravens screwed up my 6 team parlay. They must be better than I thought.