Falls City 0 Thanksgiving Day.

[brianwspencer]

more importantly -- is summerly really like 13 years old?

her best beyer was achieved in 1995? WHOA, have i been missing out?!

This is why I think JE wins. Sangrita is the speed of the race and she is stretching out to 1 1/8 miles from a 6f and 1 mile race. I believe she has sprinter speed oppose to horses like Sea Siren, Cryptoquip and Summerly who have route speed. Now I believe that those 3 horses will put enough pressure on Sangrita to force to go faster than what she wants. I believe the fractions will be around :46 1:10 and that is too fast for this race. I believe that JE will get a perfect trip behind the top 5 leaders while being either on the rail or in the 2 path. This is her 2nd off a layoff and she ran a nice 2nd to Sangrita last time out. She was bumped at the 3/16ths pole and went 5 wide and only lost by 2. I think she is set up perfectly for a nice performance. Now I dont think she is the best horse in the race and we all know the best horse doesnt always win....but given how I think the race will play out and how she will improve from her last start equals a win for me. I will play my usual 100 Across on her.

[PeteMugg]

Hey euro, you gonna be at Churchill for this one? I've been doing Thankgiving at the track for about the last ten years or so. They put on a nice spread.

[blackthroatedwind]

Joint Effort doesn't look like a two-turn distance horse to me. No thanks.

[Cajungator26]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

Joint Effort doesn't look like a two-turn distance horse to me. No thanks.

It appears that she did ok. There was only one way to find out... and now we know.

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by Cajungator26

It appears that she did ok. There was only one way to find out... and now we know.

She certainly ran better than I thought she would though sprinters stretching to two turns often run their best races first time they try it.

Sadly my guess is this race was a frightening prelude to a series of VERY mediocre races for the older fillies and mares next year. This division appears to be extraordinarily weak. Sorry if I'm not falling all over myself about the Ermines of the world.

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

She certainly ran better than I thought she would though sprinters stretching to two turns often run their best races first time they try it.

Sadly my guess is this race was a frightening prelude to a series of VERY mediocre races for the older fillies and mares next year. This division appears to be extraordinarily weak. Sorry if I'm not falling all over myself about the Ermines of the world.

I have to agree. Unless we get a couple of horses that step up this division is going to blow in 2007. I didnt think the race yesterday was all that good. They went brutally slow and all of them were extremely tired when they hit the wire. I was happy with the fractions that JE ran, but I thought there would have been more speed. But I won $190 so it is all good.

Originally Posted by PeteMugg

Hey euro, you gonna be at Churchill for this one? I've been doing Thankgiving at the track for about the last ten years or so. They put on a nice spread.

We do every other year at Churchill. They do put on a great day on Thanksgiving. This year we are hosting Thanksgiving since we have a new born. Maybe next year we can hook up. Enjoy your holiday and win some money.