How Selfish Can Omama Be

[Riot]

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis

Please explain how you crowned Obama as Most Likely winning FL when your own poll says the opposite.

I didn't crown Obama anything - the professional pollsters crowned him. Again, I posted two extremely accurate and well respected poll aggregators, which you just dismissed out of hand as "lefty" (which is simply false) There is plenty of information on their sites about electoral college voting trends.

As I said, you are looking at today's snapshot number, when you have to look at the current daily trend. Polling is being conducted by multiple organizations on a daily basis now. And Obama is gaining daily, and Romney is falling daily.

In Florida, Dems currently hold the advantage in early voting, 43% to 41%.

Obama got a slight bump by pollsters reading into Christys endorsement of how he said he was going to open the floodgates of borrowed money (ie. remove all red tape) to save his state. Which the President should. These people need help. Now. That is a position held by all, I hope.

But that won't translate on Tuesday. 80% chance?!! Intrade would dispute this by 15% at least.

Really, none of that has anything to do with affecting the electoral vote, which determines the winner.

This election was pretty well decided months ago, with only 1 significant blip after that (Obama's bad performance the first debate brought Romney up) but then a solidification for Obama, and falling off of Romney, since then.

[Rudeboyelvis]

Originally Posted by Riot

I didn't crown Obama anything - the professional pollsters crowned him. .

That's a lie. I posted a Rasmussen poll that showed Romney ahead by 2 points in Fl. You questioned the poll and provided your own poll. You said that Obama is the "Most Likely" winner in FL, yet the exact poll you referenced showed the exact opposite.

How do you explain this?

[Riot]

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis

That's a lie. I posted a Rasmussen poll that showed Romney ahead by 2 points in Fl. You questioned the poll and provided your own poll. You said that Obama is the "Most Likely" winner in FL, yet the exact poll you referenced showed the exact opposite.

How do you explain this?

First: I am posting two aggregate pollsters, Nate Silver 538 and TPM, and both have excellent reputations for accuracy. They take Rasmussen and mix with other polls for a total, overall view.

You are looking at one Republican-leaning poll, only Rasmussen.

Secondly: For the third time, I'll repeat the same explanation: TRENDING

Obama is strongly trending up, Romney trending down. Post Rasmussen Florida for the past 5 days in Florida, Rude. Even House of Ras has Romney trending downwards in Florida.

(Here: this is from Friday, but Ras has Romney trending down in Florida the past week http://www.rasmussenreports.com/publ...rida_president )

Thirdly: Democrats beating Republican in early voting.

I've very confident of Obama winning Florida. Won't be by much, but he'll win. Even if Romney wins FL, he would have to still run the table with CO, NV, OH, PA, NC, VA, NH.

That is based upon looking at lots of different polls, over the past six months.

Romney simply has no easy way to 270 votes, Obama does. It's a week before the election. What you see is what you get.

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

please please tell me you think your going to win..lol

[Riot]

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead

please please tell me you think your going to win..lol

I already did that earlier..lol

[bigrun]

Where is that singing coming from? ... I believe it's the Fat Lady !!!



O w/ MO MT @fivethirtyeight 7 polls released in OH in past 48 hrs: Obama +2, Obama +3, Obama +3, Obama +3, Obama +5, Obama +5, Obama +5.

[Riot]

Originally Posted by bigrun

Where is that singing coming from? ... I believe it's the Fat Lady !!!

O w/ MO MT @fivethirtyeight 7 polls released in OH in past 48 hrs: Obama +2, Obama +3, Obama +3, Obama +3, Obama +5, Obama +5, Obama +5.

Yeah, I saw that earlier

Nate Silver used to be a gambler. Guy is good with number and predictions.

[Rudeboyelvis]

Originally Posted by Riot

First: I am posting two aggregate pollsters, Nate Silver 538 and TPM, and both have excellent reputations for accuracy. They take Rasmussen and mix with other polls for a total, overall view.

You are looking at one Republican-leaning poll, only Rasmussen.

Secondly: For the third time, I'll repeat the same explanation: TRENDING

Obama is strongly trending up, Romney trending down. Post Rasmussen Florida for the past 5 days in Florida, Rude. Even House of Ras has Romney trending downwards in Florida.

Thirdly: Democrats beating Republican in early voting.

I've very confident of Obama winning Florida. Won't be by much, but he'll win. Even if Romney wins FL, he would have to still run the table with CO, NV, OH, PA, NC, VA, NH.

Romney simply has no easy way to 270 votes, Obama does. It's a week before the election. What you see is what you get.

He will win FL handily. He is still "Trending" higher in the I10 and I4 corridors which are the key to the state. You state as fact that somehow the state has released official voting records of early voting to you, which is a lie. You are citing exit polling by a left wing website that is ambiguous at best..

Secondly, he can lose OH and PA and still win the EC as he has already shown positive "Trending" in NV, WI, and even OH, and is "Trending" higher than Obama in CO, IA, NH, and VA.

I'm done. You are a joke. We'll see on Tuesday... I'll be traveling, but hope to be close by to wish you nothing but the best for you and your family upon your departure.

[Riot]

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis

You state as fact that somehow the state has released official voting records of early voting to you, which is a lie.

No, I did not you moronic idiot

You not knowing how early voting totals are obtained and released to the press is pretty weak reason for calling me a liar. Your ignorance about how early voting is tabulated is not my fault.

I copied to a newspaper article that has the current early voting (all states) - looks like you didn't even bother to click and learn.

You are citing exit polling by a left wing website that is ambiguous at best..

That's not where how information on that newspaper website was obtained, doofus

I'm done. You are a joke. We'll see on Tuesday... I'll be traveling, but hope to be close by to wish you nothing but the best for you and your family upon your departure.

I clearly am not the joke. You going on and on, comfortable in your ignorance of polling, is pretty funny.

[Rudeboyelvis]

Originally Posted by Riot

No, I did not you moronic idiot

You not knowing how early voting totals are obtained and released to the press is pretty weak [/b]

Provide your source, Sugartits.



Hillsborough County (Tampa), for one, says it's illegal.

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis

Provide your source, Sugartits.



Hillsborough County (Tampa), for one, says it's illegal.

I just ate. Thanks.

[Riot]

For Rude: click and learn. Bumbleballs

http://elections.gmu.edu/early_vote_2012.html

[Rudeboyelvis]

Originally Posted by Riot

For Rude: click and learn. Bumbleballs

http://elections.gmu.edu/early_vote_2012.html

Hahaha you click on the link and it takes you to a Huff Po blog!!! C'mon!!! Get Real!!!