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Old 10-31-2012, 07:32 PM
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Riot Riot is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead View Post
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Yes, posting polls from last April was very helpful, Hooves

Pollster Dates Pop. Romney Obama Undecided Margin

Gravis Marketing NEW! 10/30 - 10/30 549 LV 50 47 4 Romney +3
(Gravis generally runs with a 4+ GOP sampling bias, so that puts Obama up 1)

JZ Analytics/Newsmax 10/27 - 10/29 828 LV 47 48 5 Obama +1

PPP (D) 10/26 - 10/28 687 LV 48 49 3 Obama +1

CNN 10/25 - 10/28 770 LV 50 49 1 Romney +1
(CNN generally right on)

Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS NEW! 10/23 - 10/28 1,073 LV 47 48 3 Obama +1

SurveyUSA 10/25 - 10/27 595 LV 47 47 5 -

Rasmussen 10/25 - 10/25 750 LV 50 48 1 Romney +2
(House of Ras is very GOP leaning)

Yes - the above show that the national popular vote is close. But it's who wins each state, even by 1 vote, that matters in the electoral college.
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  #2  
Old 10-31-2012, 07:42 PM
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hoovesupsideyourhead hoovesupsideyourhead is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Riot View Post
Yes, posting polls from last April was very helpful, Hooves

Pollster Dates Pop. Romney Obama Undecided Margin

Gravis Marketing NEW! 10/30 - 10/30 549 LV 50 47 4 Romney +3
(Gravis generally runs with a 4+ GOP sampling bias, so that puts Obama up 1)

JZ Analytics/Newsmax 10/27 - 10/29 828 LV 47 48 5 Obama +1

PPP (D) 10/26 - 10/28 687 LV 48 49 3 Obama +1

CNN 10/25 - 10/28 770 LV 50 49 1 Romney +1
(CNN generally right on)

Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS NEW! 10/23 - 10/28 1,073 LV 47 48 3 Obama +1

SurveyUSA 10/25 - 10/27 595 LV 47 47 5 -

Rasmussen 10/25 - 10/25 750 LV 50 48 1 Romney +2
(House of Ras is very GOP leaning)

Yes - the above show that the national popular vote is close. But it's who wins each state, even by 1 vote, that matters in the electoral college.
Gravis Marketing NEW! 10/30 - 10/30 549 LV 50 47 4 Romney +3
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  #3  
Old 10-31-2012, 07:44 PM
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Riot Riot is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead View Post
Gravis Marketing NEW! 10/30 - 10/30 549 LV 50 47 4 Romney +3
Please, please, please bet your assumption of election outcome based upon Gravis Marketing

You need to read up on who/what Gravis Marketing is, and how they sample
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