Wagering Strategy for Breeders Cup

jms62 · #1 10-25-2012, 01:00 PM

Really wide as you can get your share of 5 to 10 K Pick 3's.

I usually have a very wide ticket and a $5 concentrated ticket and have no problems spending 200 per Pick 3. You can get some 5-10 K Pick 3's come Breeders cup day and some 800+ doubles too.

Calzone Lord · #2 10-25-2012, 01:07 PM

Wagering strategy should always depend on how you view the race and series of races in a sequence as a whole.

Having a generic approach before you have opinions and theories on a race is never a good idea.

I'm never a big fan of excessive spreading.

richard · #3 10-25-2012, 01:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Calzone Lord

Wagering strategy should always depend on how you view the race and series of races in a sequence as a whole.

Having a generic approach before you have opinions and theories on a race is never a good idea.

I'm never a big fan of excessive spreading.

I agree. Excessive spreading means you should pass on the bet. Try a quick pick instead.

Dahoss · #4 10-25-2012, 01:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by richard

I agree. Excessive spreading means you should pass on the bet. Try a quick pick instead.

Oy vey...a quick pick?

richard · #5 10-25-2012, 02:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Oy vey...a quick pick?

A dollar here, a dollar there, you may get lucky. In addition to your handicapping.

Calzone Lord · #6 10-25-2012, 02:59 PM

Anyone who asks for a quick pick is playing the wrong game.

TheSpyder · #7 10-25-2012, 03:08 PM

My strategy will be to pick the horse that reached the finish line before the rest of the other horses.

jms62 · #8 10-25-2012, 01:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by richard

I agree. Excessive spreading means you should pass on the bet. Try a quick pick instead.

Couldn't disagree with you more. Its not a Monday at Parx. You have huge fields, many horses that can win, massive pools and you get massive payouts. You spread and catch the 40-1 horse that blows up the Pick 3 to 10K.

tanner12oz · #9 10-26-2012, 08:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by richard

I agree. Excessive spreading means you should pass on the bet. Try a quick pick instead.

spreading is the only way to score the $100 horses on top...seriously whose betting those as there "top selection"??

Dahoss · #10 10-26-2012, 01:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tanner12oz

spreading is the only way to score the $100 horses on top...seriously whose betting those as there "top selection"??

People who bet their top selection to win? If you like a horse, who cares how high the odds are?

Indian Charlie · #11 10-26-2012, 02:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss

People who bet their top selection to win? If you like a horse, who cares how high the odds are?

There is a common perception among horseplayers that if a horse they like is too high in odds, something must be wrong with it.

That whole dead on the board thing.

I stopped doing that the first (and only) time I talked myself off a $50 winner.

goodcopy · #12 10-26-2012, 05:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie

There is a common perception among horseplayers that if a horse they like is too high in odds, something must be wrong with it.

That whole dead on the board thing.

I stopped doing that the first (and only) time I talked myself off a $50 winner.

That is what makes me a good handicapper but a lousy gambler!
So many times I have got off a horse because of "Hi-Odds"dead on the board.
This is The Bain of my existance!
That and the S.D.Chargers!

Thunder Gulch · #13 10-29-2012, 08:16 PM

I'm going to disagree with most of you on this thread. This day is all about the verticals, and the supers are the place to be. Playing in increments of 10 cents allows you to spread to catch the bombs. Look at the payoffs from the last several years and you'll see those pools offer the best chance to catch real jackpots, even when favorites are involved.

hoovesupsideyourhead · #14 10-25-2012, 01:07 PM

play the pick 4s single when you have one and win place on your strongest value plays..save money for beer..

asudevil · #15 10-25-2012, 03:20 PM

Wagering Strategy

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Danzig · #16 10-25-2012, 04:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by asudevil

Wagering Strategy

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cal828 · #17 10-25-2012, 05:10 PM

Don't have much of a bankroll, so probably will just be playing the last 4 races on Saturday unless, of course, I succumb to temptation which is fairly likely. This was my plan last year and it quickly went to hell in a handbag.

MaTH716 · #18 10-25-2012, 05:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cal828

Don't have much of a bankroll, so probably will just be playing the last 4 races on Saturday unless, of course, I succumb to temptation which is fairly likely. This was my plan last year and it quickly went to hell in a handbag.

Why wait? Try to find the race/sequance that you feel like you have the best opinion in and hopefully you hit.

cal828 · #19 10-25-2012, 06:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MaTH716

Why wait? Try to find the race/sequance that you feel like you have the best opinion in and hopefully you hit.

I think that the races on Saturday will be more formful and I will be more familiar with the horses in the races that I mentioned and therefore, those are the races in which I may have the best opinion. I will probably scan the other races, but unless I see something glaring, I think I will confine may play to Saturday, but who knows, I am probably lying to myself. Hard to stay on the sidelines.