Better play today - DMR P5 or DMR P6?

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by Calzone Lord

A P5 ticket of (5 X 4 X 1 X 3 X 1) costs just $30 and it pays you $484. That's an IRS hassle free 15-to-1 winner... despite practically buying that 1st leg and having odds on favorites win as your two singles.

Don't have time for a post-script, but buying of races, like using 5 or maybe 6 in the 1st, is central to what I suggested regarding the 2 sequences going in and why I was more forcused on the P6. Narrow in the 3rd/5th and wider in the 1st/2nd/4th was obviously the preferable structure but making that call now with a $30 ticket is easy and nothing says the 2nd or 4th go your way with 'just' 4 & 3. What I didn't want to do or suggest was spending 'P6 money' trying to hit the P5.

[Calzone Lord]

Originally Posted by Kasept

What I didn't want to do or encourage was the playing of a P6 sized ticket trying to hit the P5..

But it was such an advantage situation -- even doing that wouldn't have been a bad idea as long as you structured it in a sane way and didn't baseball hopeless horses together on a "caveman" style ticket.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by Calzone Lord

But it was such an advantage situation -- even doing that wouldn't have been a bad idea as long as you structured it in a sane way and didn't baseball hopeless horses together on a "caveman" style ticket.

If you were singling in the P5 in one or two slots, you would still need back ups? What do you think the ideal budget was for the 5?

[Calzone Lord]

Originally Posted by Kasept

If you were singling in the P5 in one or two slots, you would still need back ups? What do you think the ideal budget was for the 5?

It always depends on your opinions of the races in the sequence.

I've seen some p5's at Gulfstream where I doubted I could hit them going six deep the whole way.

I didn't give my opinions here before the races for yesterdays card at Del Mar -- but by reading your analysis I think you handicapped the sequence pretty well.

IMO, deciding how to play the p5 is like taking a survey. Each race has a question. For instance,

Leg #1 is it was 'Two of the seven have almost no chance -- five others are very close. Can I do any actual handicapping and narrow it down if I have to?

Leg #2 is 'none of the experienced horses in here have run near par for this class level. Do I trust all the workout reports and use the two firsters they like -- or do I spread?'

And so on.

[Danzig]

Originally Posted by Kasept

If you were singling in the P5 in one or two slots, you would still need back ups? What do you think the ideal budget was for the 5?

do you usually set a max amount to bet, and if you can't find the right mix of plays...do you spend more, or do you just not do the bet?