Better play today - DMR P5 or DMR P6?

[Calzone Lord]

Originally Posted by Kasept

I really thought it was going my way.

Just by reading your analysis on the P5 -- I think you handicapped it well but your strategy was questionable based on what you wrote.

I could second guess your strategy by reading your own analysis this way.

You took a stand and singled Hoorayforhollywood in the P6...but went 4 deep in the P5 using three others with him trying to get more "payoff potential"

You went two deep in the opening leg despite calling it a "competitive race" -- and from a numbers standpoint -- it was a more competitive race like you said. Five of them in there looked very close and hard to separate on figures. And you didn't make a case for factors why one of the five was the right horse. In fact, your "most likely" hadn't raced in over 3 months and was plunging in for a tag for the first time in his life. Admittedly, he would have been my most likely as well -- but that race was crying for coverage.

Where as 4-to-5 favorite HoorayforHollywood (your P6 single) had an edge in figures off his route race over the track last out and that was earned off of a layoff.

Reading what you wrote, you could have easily singled HoorayforHollywood like you did in the P6 and not tried to split hairs in the 1st race.

A P5 ticket of (5 X 4 X 1 X 3 X 1) costs just $30 and it pays you $484. That's an IRS hassle free 15-to-1 winner... despite practically buying that 1st leg and having odds on favorites win as your two singles.

Of course, had you landed on the winner in the leg where you split hairs, and had that speed duel have cost Hoorayforhollywood the race, you'd have had a much nicer hit than a lousy stinking IRS free 15/1.