DERBY/OAKS DAWN PATROL: (5/1) Valeski out, Optimizer in..

[hockey2315]

Originally Posted by booner

I will not have Bodemeister on any of my tickets. He has progressed for 4 straight races; I think he is due to regress in the Derby, even though he did work lights out and looked good on Sunday.

I don't get this stance at all. . . especially considering the second half of what you said.

[booner]

I know it doesn't seem to make sense, hockey. But I just don't think he will run another big race. His last work made me want to reconsider, but I'm sticking by my first instinct. If he beats me, he beats me.

[slotdirt]

I suppose one has to take a stand somewhere.

[philcski]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

I don't get this stance at all. . . especially considering the second half of what you said.

I want to be in love with him. I really do.

But the curse of Apollo lives strong. Just look at the laundry list of casualties listed in Saturday's DRF. Some really good names on the list. In the past 30 years alone, 28 starters, one 2nd (Strodes Creek in '94 with a weak field after Holy Bull's disastrous run) and two 3rds (the great Curlin and Reinvested in 1982- don't know anything about him.) Even the great Pulpit, long the fastest debut in Beyer history, could only manage 4th against a very deep field.

Trends are made to be broken- but this one at least has a physiological basis on why it hasn't. Keep this in mind on Saturday.

[RockHardTen1985]

This may help a few of you out. Unless they draw the rail, Bode and TCI are my A's. No one else. I feel Bode is very very likely, and TCI has so much going for him. Plus I have him in pool 1. As of now ill have 2 back ups. Creative Cause and Hansen. That's it.

[santana]

Certainly depending on how the post postios goes......Bodie and Union are the ONLY 2 in here for me.....
We have all seen even the best of the best goe down, but those two seem to be a bit better than the rest.

[Gate Dancer]

As of now.............

A's --- Daddy Nose Best, Dullahan, Creative Cause

B's --- Union Rags, I'll Have Another, Went The Day Well

C's --- Gemologist, Prospective

Really hard race to go vertical............doubles, pic 3's, is where I'm leaning.