Derby Day Pools

[Port Conway Lane]

Originally Posted by jms62

I'm for getting rid of dime supers and .50 P4's all-together. Can anyone truly say that their ROI on P4's has improved since they have gone the .50 route? People spend just as much playing .50 as they would a dollar get more combinations and IMLHO severly watered down payouts. I wish the industry or DRF would publish a study of .50 P4's. I do realize I won't get any support on my position but that is how I see it.

jms, when you analyze what you said above it is the combinations that affect the roi not the minimums.
For example if I was to play the late DD at Hollywood 5x5 it would cost me $50. How much can I expect from my dollar if a $14 horse wins one of the legs and a 5-2 second choice wins the other? I'll get my money back plus a few bucks.

On the same racecard I instead decide to play the late pick 4 1x1x5x5. My investment is $12.50 and I hit the first two legs. I can now compare the p-4 payout for $.50 to a $12 DD in legs 1 and 2. In most cases the $12 DD in legs 1 and 2 will pay very close to the $.50 p-4 payout. It is the races in which I spread that determines my profit margin.

The way I see it is that the lower the minimum the more amateur money gets into the pools.

[jms62]

Originally Posted by Port Conway Lane

jms, when you analyze what you said above it is the combinations that affect the roi not the minimums.
For example if I was to play the late DD at Hollywood 5x5 it would cost me $50. How much can I expect from my dollar if a $14 horse wins one of the legs and a 5-2 second choice wins the other? I'll get my money back plus a few bucks.

On the same racecard I instead decide to play the late pick 4 1x1x5x5. My investment is $12.50 and I hit the first two legs. I can now compare the p-4 payout for $.50 to a $12 DD in legs 1 and 2. In most cases the $12 DD in legs 1 and 2 will pay very close to the $.50 p-4 payout. It is the races in which I spread that determines my profit margin.

The way I see it is that the lower the minimum the more amateur money gets into the pools.

LOL... Sorry Port I am not smart enough to have the faintest clue of what you are trying to say.

[Port Conway Lane]

Originally Posted by jms62

LOL... Sorry Port I am not smart enough to have the faintest clue of what you are trying to say.

I'm sure you're smart enough. I didn't make it clear.


I'm trying to point out that ultimately it is where you spread that will determine how profitable your p-4 wager will be. If people are spreading more because of the minimum cost they better be getting at least $12 horses. Its the winning chalk that keeps the payoffs low not the base wager.

[Thunder Gulch]

Call me what you may, but at Travis says, I'm not involved in the supers for these contentious 14 horse fields with dollar minimums unless I'm pooling with friends. I'd rather just bet $100 to win than try to get skinny.