Oaks and Derby Handicapping

[tywizard]

Steve has mentioned this before somewhere...And I couldn't agree more.

I can't make heads or tails of The Oaks. Every logical contender appears to have the exact same front running style. I suppose Grace Hall has shown some ability to sit and wait and maybe Summer Applause. Any thoughts on how this race will develop?

[Sightseek]

Originally Posted by tywizard

Steve has mentioned this before somewhere...And I couldn't agree more.

I can't make heads or tails of The Oaks. Every logical contender appears to have the exact same front running style. I suppose Grace Hall has shown some ability to sit and wait and maybe Summer Applause. Any thoughts on how this race will develop?

Summer Applause will get the set-up that she didn't get last out, but nearly won anyway.

[Travis Stone]

Originally Posted by Sightseek

Summer Applause will get the set-up that she didn't get last out, but nearly won anyway.

What do you mean?

[Sightseek]

Originally Posted by Travis Stone

What do you mean?

Meaning I like Summer Applause better for the Oaks than I do Believe You Can.

[tywizard]

http://t.co/41IBzPVc

Undercard probables for both days.

[ADJMK]

Keep hearing that Union Rags is not bred for the distance.Does anyone know if any of Dixie Union's progeny has run or even attempted to go 1 1/4?

[miraja2]

Originally Posted by ADJMK

Keep hearing that Union Rags is not bred for the distance.Does anyone know if any of Dixie Union's progeny has run or even attempted to go 1 1/4?

Grasshopper did in the '07 Travers. In addition to having the same sire, Union Rags & Grasshoppers' dams have a similar pedigree so he might be one to look at as a comparison if you're interested in that sort of thing.

Personally I don't see anything about Union Rags in his pedigree or (more importantly) in his past performances that says 10f will neccesarily be a problem for him. Doesn't mean it won't be, but I see no reason to think that the 1f stretch out will hurt (or help) this particular colt.

[NTamm1215]

Originally Posted by Sightseek

Summer Applause will get the set-up that she didn't get last out, but nearly won anyway.

Summer Applause got a HUGE setup last time and somehow still lost.