Projecting figures for very old races.

[Calzone Lord]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Doug,

This is very cool. Beyond the projections of pars, what are you using to project the speed of the track on any particular day?

Everything else you would use to project the speed of the track on yesterday's results. Parallel time charts, beaten length adjustments, etc.

Originally Posted by Kasept

(And Haskin agrees with you that Coastal is under-appreciated.)

Coastal ran nine times as a 3-year-old. He had a record of 9-6-1-2 and pretty much lived in the 117-to-124 Beyer range... and did that while facing some of the absolute toughest competition of any 3-year-old in history.

Two of his three defeats came to the older horse Affirmed (at peak form) and one of them to Spectacular Bid.

Coastal had a big closing kick as well...and could stay any distance (won the Tyro at 5.5 furlongs, won the Belmont at 12fs) and he could also handle a wet racetrack.