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#3
02-01-2012, 11:38 PM
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A few thoughts on the race.
Score One's dam was 6 for 14 on the turf including a listed stake at Tampa. Chief Redneck's dam was 5 for 23 on turf, and was in the money in 9 other turf starts, winning over 100k. Ninja Warrior, as Kev mentioned is bred very strongly for grass, being a full to War Monger, who was 4 for 13 on grass and won over 500k. He's also a half to Brickell who won over 300k on grass. Trainer has had success with Danny Coa riding. Ransom Canyon's dam was 7 for 15 on grass and she was also a half to 6 figure turf earners. Horvat Clan is the trip horse. Soul of the Moon's dam is half to Marcavelly who won a couple of grade 3's on the grass. Horvat Clan is the one to beat and if he repeats his last, he's going to win. I think the 2,3,4 and 5 are all interesting pedigree plays. I give the edge to Ninja Warrior, although maybe the board tells a better story. The real wild card to me is Score One. Sporadic works, but the kind of horse I've seen light up the toteboard. Very interesting race. 
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#4
02-02-2012, 04:54 PM
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Just watched the replay - how in the hell Goncalves not only doesn't go ass over teakettle into the rail coming out of the chute, but manages a closing 4th is beyond any plausible explanation. Well bred firster mentioned by Hossy (Ransom Canyon) gets it done @ 8-1.
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#5
02-03-2012, 06:16 AM
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That said, I hope Ian Wilkes keeps NBA Money at the MSW level. He has the look of a longtime maiden, unless he gets some class relief soon. He is running just well enough to take money, which are the types I love to play against.
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#6
02-03-2012, 07:29 AM
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#7
02-03-2012, 08:04 AM
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It's not like he has any speed. The bump knocked him back to last where he was probably going to end up anyway. It's a sucker trouble line when a horse that has no speed gets bothered at the start. He made the same closing move on Dec 10 and the public jumped on him the next out where he couldn't hit the board against arguably a slightly better group that the previous race. The competition is only going to get tougher as some of the late bloomers hit the track, then soon enough, he'll have to beat older horses too. Speaking in Beyer terms as that seems to be the most common way to compare. He got a 50 for his efforts yesterday so in his three tries at Tampa, he is going backwards from a 59 to a 54 to a troubled 50. You aren't winning a straight 3yr old MSW at Tampa running in the 50's. Closing kick or not. Unless he gets some class relief, he is not getting a dime of my money.
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#8
03-31-2012, 07:42 PM
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 He found the proper field. Firsters second and third behind him.
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