Iowa Republican Straw Poll

[hi_im_god]

intrade 345 pst:

romney 41.0
paul 29.9
santorum 28.0

i wish i had bought santorum last night. nice 28.4% return in less than 24 hours if you sold at 28.

[Riot]

Originally Posted by hi_im_god

intrade 345 pst:

romney 41.0
paul 29.9
santorum 28.0

i wish i had bought santorum last night. nice 28.4% return in less than 24 hours if you sold at 28.

Humm ... say if it goes like this ...
Bachmann 7
Huntsman 0
Perry 12
Gingrich 8

That leaves 75, how about
Santorum 25
Romney 30
Paul 18

I think Paul will not be chosen (unelectable) and I'm reading/hearing rumors that the evangelicals will NOT vote Mormon.

We'll know in a few hours

[Riot]

So - evangelicals will NOT vote Mormon.

Let's hope Santorum gets donations of gasoline, to drive that pickup truck to New Hampshire! Debate this weekend will be brutal via Newt. Now he has nothing to lose, and he already said he's going postal on Romney.

Meanwhile, DNC is laughing, and keeping their money dry. The GOP has come far beyond the "extreme" of Sarah Palin. Now they only have candidates representing their extremes facing off: evangelical Big Government Social Takeover type vs. The 1% Wealthy. Guess who will win? Yay, Citizens United!

DNC is laughing because they don't have to play the "divide and conquer" card; Repugnicans are saving them the trouble.

The only hope the R's ever had was to UNITE behind a candidate EARLY ON. This thing's got a lot of ugliness left, and the R's are eating their young before our eyes.

I don't think it was a record final voter turnout, either, which was one thing the Dems didn't want to see.


Ocala Mike

[bigrun]

Originally Posted by Ocala Mike

DNC is laughing because they don't have to play the "divide and conquer" card; Repugnicans are saving them the trouble.

The only hope the R's ever had was to UNITE behind a candidate EARLY ON. This thing's got a lot of ugliness left, and the R's are eating their young before our eyes.

I don't think it was a record final voter turnout, either, which was one thing the Dems didn't want to see.


Ocala Mike

Have you ever seen a glummer or grouchier bunch of presidential aspirants than the current GOP crop? You’d be working those frown lines, too, I guess, if you thought, as Rick Santorum does, that this year’s race will decide “whether we will be a free people.” Or believed, as Michele Bachmann told Sean Hannity on Monday, that Iran might go nuclear before Inauguration Day.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/politi...c=nl_headlines

[Riot]

Originally Posted by bigrun

Have you ever seen a glummer or grouchier bunch of presidential aspirants than the current GOP crop? You’d be working those frown lines, too, I guess, if you thought, as Rick Santorum does, that this year’s race will decide “whether we will be a free people.”

I've never seen a bunch that wanted government to take over our lives and dictate what we can and cannot do so badly, on a national level. It's the John Birch Society writ large.

[bigrun]

[geeker2]

Originally Posted by Ocala Mike

DNC is laughing because they don't have to play the "divide and conquer" card; Repugnicans are saving them the trouble.

The only hope the R's ever had was to UNITE behind a candidate EARLY ON. This thing's got a lot of ugliness left, and the R's are eating their young before our eyes.

I don't think it was a record final voter turnout, either, which was one thing the Dems didn't want to see.


Ocala Mike

Yeah like it was a love fest between Hillary and Obama in 2007-2008

I think it is actually good that they test each other now. That way by the time Debbie "WFT is a matter with my hair" Wasserman-Shites pukes her hate and demonizing - no one will care.

BTW "This year's caucus also set a record for turnout, with 122,255 total votes case. The previous record for the GOP caucus was 119,000 votes, set in 2008."

[hi_im_god]

Originally Posted by Ocala Mike

DNC is laughing because they don't have to play the "divide and conquer" card; Repugnicans are saving them the trouble.

The only hope the R's ever had was to UNITE behind a candidate EARLY ON. This thing's got a lot of ugliness left, and the R's are eating their young before our eyes.

I don't think it was a record final voter turnout, either, which was one thing the Dems didn't want to see.


Ocala Mike

it is early on, mike. it's not as if the nomination fight is going to drag on much longer.

romney has money and organization. he'll be the nominee and get the support of all but the narrowest band of registered republicans in november.

it's a fight for independents from here on. the rest of the primaries are a sideshow before the inevitable occurs. no serious damage is being done. no one will remember much about january in august.

[geeker2]

Originally Posted by hi_im_god

it is early on, mike. it's not as if the nomination fight is going to drag on much longer.

romney has money and organization. he'll be the nominee and get the support of all but the narrowest band of registered republicans in november.

it's a fight for independents from here on. the rest of the primaries are a sideshow before the inevitable occurs. no serious damage is being done. no one will remember much about january in august.

well put

[Riot]

Originally Posted by hi_im_god

it is early on, mike. it's not as if the nomination fight is going to drag on much longer.

romney has money and organization. he'll be the nominee and get the support of all but the narrowest band of registered republicans in november.

He'll be the nominee, but some are starting to wonder aloud if Gingrich is actually being paid by the Democrats We'll see this Sat/Sun when the next debate happens in NH. Gingrich angry is Gingrich stupid - and he has nothing to lose now being foolish in his aggressive vindiction to go after Romney.

it's a fight for independents from here on.

True. But Romney is blowing it bigtime. His instincts were right the first time, don't worry about Iowa, it's just the evangelical vote. Don't go there. I think Romney has made a big mistake changing his plan, and hitting it as hard as he could. Now he's got reels of soundbites of crazy he'll never be able to take back, much to the Democrats glee.

Romney might be taken out. Nobody though Hillary could lose, either. NH will be boring, but South Carolina will be awesome.