obama should lose

[Cannon Shell]

The election for President is going to be won or lost on who runs the more effective attack ads. Obama cant run on his record because it is not only dismal he has pissed off the far lefties which made getting him elected a huge priority in 2008 because they mistakenly thought he was one of them (probably wont see that swell of grassroots support). The GOP nominee is going to face the fact that they probably dont have much of a record and will need to stay right to keep the religious nuts happy (especially Romney who will be looked upon warily by the South) in case plain hatred for Obama is not enough to make them actually get out and vote.

I predict that we see new lows in ad's on both sides as both Obama and the GOP nominee wont do anything but appeal to the base and try to trick indy's, not by swaying them FOR them but against the other guy.

Obama is lucky that all the sane and reasonable GOP potentials are keeping a low profile and not running because he really has very little going for him at this point. The fact that he is even with the bunch of misfits says all you need to know about what people think of his Presidency.

I do like the lower volume commercial thing though

[hi_im_god]

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell

The election for President is going to be won or lost on who runs the more effective attack ads. Obama cant run on his record because it is not only dismal he has pissed off the far lefties which made getting him elected a huge priority in 2008 because they mistakenly thought he was one of them (probably wont see that swell of grassroots support). The GOP nominee is going to face the fact that they probably dont have much of a record and will need to stay right to keep the religious nuts happy (especially Romney who will be looked upon warily by the South) in case plain hatred for Obama is not enough to make them actually get out and vote.

I predict that we see new lows in ad's on both sides as both Obama and the GOP nominee wont do anything but appeal to the base and try to trick indy's, not by swaying them FOR them but against the other guy.

Obama is lucky that all the sane and reasonable GOP potentials are keeping a low profile and not running because he really has very little going for him at this point. The fact that he is even with the bunch of misfits says all you need to know about what people think of his Presidency.

I do like the lower volume commercial thing though

i think the fact that obama will be running a seriously negative campaign is a given. it'll be a far cry from the high tone of the 2008 "hope and change" campaign. they'll be all out to paint romney as an out of touch plutocrat who shipped jobs overseas. obama won't get re-elected if he doesn't make the choice between him and something worse.

they're already running ad's in swing states trying to define romney. i'm just glad i live where the election result is a given. neither campaign will waste a whole lot of ad $ is california. the new volume rules don't go into effect until next december and it's going to be a loud campaign.

[Danzig]

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell

The election for President is going to be won or lost on who runs the more effective attack ads. Obama cant run on his record because it is not only dismal he has pissed off the far lefties which made getting him elected a huge priority in 2008 because they mistakenly thought he was one of them (probably wont see that swell of grassroots support). The GOP nominee is going to face the fact that they probably dont have much of a record and will need to stay right to keep the religious nuts happy (especially Romney who will be looked upon warily by the South) in case plain hatred for Obama is not enough to make them actually get out and vote.

I predict that we see new lows in ad's on both sides as both Obama and the GOP nominee wont do anything but appeal to the base and try to trick indy's, not by swaying them FOR them but against the other guy.

Obama is lucky that all the sane and reasonable GOP potentials are keeping a low profile and not running because he really has very little going for him at this point. The fact that he is even with the bunch of misfits says all you need to know about what people think of his Presidency.

I do like the lower volume commercial thing though

the lefties might be pissed, but they're still going to vote for obama...or not vote. they won't vote for the opposition. just like the right-it's not like they're going to vote for obama, no matter how unpalatable romney might be. it's the indies, the middle who will decide, just like always. obama said himself that if he didn't fix things, he'd be a one termer. of course he'll run on a four years isn't enough to fix things type campaign, which is correct. but he dug himself that hole, now he'll have to get out of it.

[Cannon Shell]

Originally Posted by Danzig

the lefties might be pissed, but they're still going to vote for obama...or not vote. they won't vote for the opposition. just like the right-it's not like they're going to vote for obama, no matter how unpalatable romney might be. it's the indies, the middle who will decide, just like always. obama said himself that if he didn't fix things, he'd be a one termer. of course he'll run on a four years isn't enough to fix things type campaign, which is correct. but he dug himself that hole, now he'll have to get out of it.

People think that the Indy's will be the determining factor but that assumes that the party lines will be balanced which they may not be. In other words the people who don't show up to vote will be as important as those who do. Far left liberals are as vindicitve as they are idealistic (it doesnt matter for the purposes of this post that most of those ideas are wrong). If they think that they have been wronged by Obama(which a whole lot of them do) they may rather not show up to vote which will be a huge loss for O. I have a feeling that the Right will be far more motivated to show up though I suppose that the loser of the last election will usually be. If a far greater percentage of rigties show up than lefties than winning the indy vote is less important and it is hard to imagine that it wont be close to an even split right now considering the direction of the country and the weakness of the GOP contender