First couple weeks of Saratoga

[Bigsmc]

Originally Posted by analyizethis

That's after Monday's sloppy results with scratch reduced fields (Four favories won nine races).

After Sunday the fav winning % was 29.03%

That is correct, but why does it matter what the track condition was or how short the fields were?

The thread starter said favorites were not winning and just pointed out that he was incorrect.

[VOL JACK]

Originally Posted by Seattleallstar

I look for winners if the favorite is who I like, there is no value in betting a value horse who doesnt win. I eat chalk and I swing for the fences. The price of a horse does not affect my handicapping or betting.

Good luck with that!

[Seattleallstar]

last time I checked thoroughbred race horses dont check out their odds on the tote board

[Seattleallstar]

Originally Posted by Bigsmc

That is correct, but why does it matter what the track condition was or how short the fields were?

The thread starter said favorites were not winning and just pointed out that he was incorrect.

Looking at the first day 3 favorites won out of 10 races, the rest of the winners paid pretty damn good. Which is what probably started to create that illusion for me that favorites werent winning

2nd day looks like you had 5 favorites winning, but two of them were at 3-1 which is a long price on chalk. But as percentages go favorites nonetheless

3rd day looks like three favorites won, one of which looked to be a co fav at 2-1

But Monday looked like to be the day where favorites won all day, hence that 29% moved up to 33%. I didnt play or look at Monday's card either.

[2MinsToPost]

Originally Posted by Seattleallstar

I have been doing very well as of late, I tweaked a few things with my handicapping and have learned from mistakes in the past I refused to change. Learned a few things, dropped some bad habits/angles, and humbled myself to know I have alot to learn and I have done alot of foolish things. Two people have said insanity is when you do the same thing over and over hoping to achieve a different result. So I stopped what I have been doing over and over again. I have learned my lesson and adjusted, so far its paying off.

Make that three, me. From life experience.