Mr. Commons

[bigjag0716]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Where is his good dirt race?

Where was Animal Kingdom's key dirt race before the derby?

[bigjag0716]

Yeah, the Santa Anita derby was very weak. I just feel that at a price, for me, why not take a chance on this horse. I don't know who my other logical contender is, but IMO I feel that this is a terrible 3 yr old crop, aside from maybe AK and why not take a new shooter. All these other horses have been beat by horses that alot of people don't like.


Again, that's just my opinion. I will probably play Animal Kingdom also.

[cakes44]

Originally Posted by bigjag0716

Where was Animal Kingdom's key dirt race before the derby?

Not trying to sway you either way, but you are talking about 2 different situations.

[bigjag0716]

Understood, I'm just saying for longshot value, he is my play over others. I expected to receive alot of negative feedback on him, that's why he's 20-1 on the morning line. I actually hope he will go up higher.

[slotdirt]

Five horses not to have run in the Derby have won the Preakness since 1980. I don't expect that we'll see a sixth this Saturday.

[bigjag0716]

Yeah, I read that too, but I also think that the triple crown 3 yr olds are getting worse and worse.

[dalakhani]

Originally Posted by slotdirt

Five horses not to have run in the Derby have won the Preakness since 1980. I don't expect that we'll see a sixth this Saturday.

Ah...you guys have Rockhardtenfan, I have slowdirt. See you at the windows boys.

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by dalakhani

Ah...you guys have Rockhardtenfan, I have slowdirt. See you at the windows boys.

Maybe you could explain what you like about him. So far you"heard he was working good" and his trainer is John Shirreffs.

What is drawing you to him?

[dalakhani]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Maybe you could explain what you like about him. So far you"heard he was working good" and his trainer is John Shirreffs.

What is drawing you to him?

I actually am off of him on top although will include him underneath. I was digging at Slowdirt a little because his post allows me to eliminate all of the derby starters for win honors.

That post makes his case pretty tough for the win.

I will play Dance City or sway away on top or may even Dutch them depending on price. Sway away is second time blinkers, upgrade on jockey and ran a nice ark derby. I love second time blinkers. Dance city was the only speed in that ark derby that lasted in his only stake try and was bothered in the stretch. He would need to improve just a little and he wins. Both horses are rested and there is room to improve at a price.

[slotdirt]

Originally Posted by dalakhani

I actually am off of him on top although will include him underneath. I was digging at Slowdirt a little because his post allows me to eliminate all of the derby starters for win honors.That post makes his case pretty tough for the win.

I will play Dance City or sway away on top or may even Dutch them depending on price. Sway away is second time blinkers, upgrade on jockey and ran a nice ark derby. I love second time blinkers. Dance city was the only speed in that ark derby that lasted in his only stake try and was bothered in the stretch. He would need to improve just a little and he wins. Both horses are rested and there is room to improve at a price.

If you re-read my post, smarty pants, you'd see that I was saying exactly the opposite.

[dalakhani]

Originally Posted by slotdirt

If you re-read my post, smarty pants, you'd see that I was saying exactly the opposite.

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by dalakhani

I actually am off of him on top although will include him underneath. I was digging at Slowdirt a little because his post allows me to eliminate all of the derby starters for win honors.

That post makes his case pretty tough for the win.

I will play Dance City or sway away on top or may even Dutch them depending on price. Sway away is second time blinkers, upgrade on jockey and ran a nice ark derby. I love second time blinkers. Dance city was the only speed in that ark derby that lasted in his only stake try and was bothered in the stretch. He would need to improve just a little and he wins. Both horses are rested and there is room to improve at a price.

There goes my bets. Thanks.

[dalakhani]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

There goes my bets. Thanks.

Thank me!

I left that big pile of tickets with no regrets. I figured shackelford would get used on the pace and didn't think he had much of a chance. When I am that far off, I smile and appreciate a nice performance by a gutsy winner.

I hope others on this thread saw more success than I did. Mr commons looked pretty "common" and sway away could use meditation or yoga.

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by bigjag0716

Where was Animal Kingdom's key dirt race before the derby?

Apples and oranges.

[DaTruth]

Is 20-1 really value on Mr. Commons?