4/23 (GP): Mandatory Pay Rainbow 6/Discussion

[johnny pinwheel]

Originally Posted by philcski

Because you WON'T be just getting your money back, even if it chalks out.

The takeout is 20%. So if there's $4 million bet in tomorrow, and $1.5 million in the carryover, there will be a $700k overlay on the payout- so you're playing with a ~20% bonus on the payoff, and that's just assuming the betting distribution will be "normal". Like you said, there will be tons of people playing even the most extreme combos (with Twinspires putting in $100k alone, they will have to spread extremely wide by necessity.) The chances of having a lone winning ticket tomorrow are virtually none. That is no longer the objective since the distribution is mandatory. It's taking advantage of the huge money already in the pool to hit a reasonable combo with a 20-25% bonus in the payoff. If that's not good enough for you, by all means waste your money today chasing absurd horses trying for the whole pool. Good luck.

you were right....it sort of blew up in my face....but they scracthed alot of horses yesterday(2 or 3 in almost every race)...which made hitting it almost impossible...you have to use some ridiculous horses if you expect to hit it. i had the 11 in the 9th yesterday (withches orchard) at 46-1....just missed. so i just missed a pretty good score even though i blew some bankroll to get that far. i'm not a play it safe gambler.....my biggest scores have been by doing things everyone else is not...so i took a chance and it was wrong...oh well. i'll be like the rest of you partnering up and chasing the dream today. but i'm not putting anywhere near as much in as i did yesterday(by myself). you often get rewarded taking the path less traveled. was not meant to be this time. i call it what it is ....gambling.....if your not willing to take a gamble......why gamble? i know people think i'm crazy or dumb but i'll put my ability against anyone here...i can pick a race horse and smell a "bad" fave a mile away.....i could not live the way i do if i could not.....blackthroated...you know who i am and you know its true. i've been following this game since the 6th grade and you know it. gee, i wonder why i can't go to the simulcast without half the people asking me who i like. i must lose alot of money....no i don't...thats why most of you will be working next monday morning and i'll be heading to churchill. i'll be at saratoga every day as long as i'm healthy ....boy ....i really suck.....while i'm working on PHd...yeah i'm a moron too......

[onebadbeast]

i will throw in a big dime: 10 cents, and some quick picks

[dagolfer33]

I've invested $19.20 in a personal ticket and $20 in the TS players pool. Best case scenario I win a few hundred bucks, worst case I lose $40. Play ball.

[lemoncrush]

Lots of big scratches, including the big favorite in the first leg

[dellinger63]

.80 stab lol

Keeneland is far more interesting to me

10,11/4/10/8,9/1,2/9

[hockey2315]

So many things have to go right. . . I guess this is why I never normally play PK6s.

$0.10 pick 6: 10,11 with 2,7,9 with 7,9,10 with 8,9,10 with 8,12 with 6,9 $21.60
$0.10 pick 6: 6,8,13 with 2,7,9 with 7,9,10 with 8,9,10 with 8,12 with 6,9 $32.40
$0.10 pick 6: 10,11 with 3,4,12 with 7,9,10 with 8,9,10 with 8,12 with 6,9 $21.60
$0.10 pick 6: 10,11 with 2,7,9 with 7,9,10 with 3,6 with 8,12 with 6,9 $14.40
$0.10 pick 6: 10,11 with 2,7,9 with 7,9,10 with 8,9,10 with 3 with 6,9 $10.80
$0.10 pick 6: 10,11 with 2,7,9 with 7,9,10 with 8,9,10 with 8,12 with 2,10,12 $32.40
$0.10 pick 6: 6,8,13 with 3,4,12 with 7,9,10 with 8,9,10 with 8,12 with 6,9 $32.40
$0.10 pick 6: 6,8,13 with 2,7,9 with 7,9,10 with 3,6 with 8,12 with 6,9 $21.60
$0.10 pick 6: 6,8,13 with 2,7,9 with 7,9,10 with 8,9,10 with 3 with 6,9 $16.20
$0.10 pick 6: 6,8,13 with 2,7,9 with 7,9,10 with 8,9,10 with 8,12 with 2,10,12 $48.60
$0.10 pick 6: 10,11 with 3,4,12 with 7,9,10 with 3,6 with 8,12 with 6,9 $14.40
$0.10 pick 6: 10,11 with 3,4,12 with 7,9,10 with 8,9,10 with 3 with 6,9 $10.80
$0.10 pick 6: 10,11 with 3,4,12 with 7,9,10 with 8,9,10 with 8,12 with 2,10,12 $32.40
$0.10 pick 6: 10,11 with 2,7,9 with 7,9,10 with 3,6 with 3 with 6,9 $7.20
$0.10 pick 6: 10,11 with 2,7,9 with 7,9,10 with 3,6 with 8,12 with 2,10,12 $21.60
$0.10 pick 6: 10,11 with 2,7,9 with 7,9,10 with 8,9,10 with 3 with 2,10,12 $16.20
$0.10 pick 6: 2,12 with 2,7,9 with 7,9,10 with 8,9,10 with 8,12 with 6,9 $21.60
$0.10 pick 6: 10,11 with 8 with 7,9,10 with 8,9,10 with 8,12 with 6,9 $7.20
$0.10 pick 6: 10,11 with 2,7,9 with 3,6 with 8,9,10 with 8,12 with 6,9 $14.40
$0.10 pick 6: 10,11 with 2,7,9 with 7,9,10 with 2,11 with 8,12 with 6,9 $14.40
$0.10 pick 6: 10,11 with 2,7,9 with 7,9,10 with 8,9,10 with 1,2,5,11 with 6,9 $43.20

[JJP]

Race 7: 6,10,11,13
Race 8: 2,3,4,8,9
Race 9: 7,10
Race 10: 2,6,8,9,11
Race 11: 12
Race 12: 3,9,10,12

800 tix ($80)

[lemoncrush]

Race 7: 10, 11,13
Race 8: 1,2,3,9,13
Race 9: 9,10
Race 10: 2,9,10,11
Race11: 3,11,12
Race 12: 9

$36 for a dime.

[Sethcarter]

Race 7:6/8/10/13
R8: 3/4
R9: 10
R10: 2/6/8/9/10/11
R11: 1/3/5/8/11/12
R12: 1/2/3/5/6/9/10/11/12/13

$288...

[Heels1989]

April 23, 2011
2:11 PM 001866
Race 7 Gulfstream Park $0.10 P6 (PWHL)
6, 10, 11, 13 / 2, 3, 4, 9 / 6, 7, 9, 10 / 2, 8, 9 / 1, 3, 11 / 2, 9, 10, 12
Bet $230.40

Good luck!!!

[Scav]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

So many things have to go right. . . I guess this is why I never normally play PK6s.

$0.10 pick 6: 10,11 with 2,7,9 with 7,9,10 with 8,9,10 with 8,12 with 6,9 $21.60
$0.10 pick 6: 6,8,13 with 2,7,9 with 7,9,10 with 8,9,10 with 8,12 with 6,9 $32.40
$0.10 pick 6: 10,11 with 3,4,12 with 7,9,10 with 8,9,10 with 8,12 with 6,9 $21.60
$0.10 pick 6: 10,11 with 2,7,9 with 7,9,10 with 3,6 with 8,12 with 6,9 $14.40
$0.10 pick 6: 10,11 with 2,7,9 with 7,9,10 with 8,9,10 with 3 with 6,9 $10.80
$0.10 pick 6: 10,11 with 2,7,9 with 7,9,10 with 8,9,10 with 8,12 with 2,10,12 $32.40
$0.10 pick 6: 6,8,13 with 3,4,12 with 7,9,10 with 8,9,10 with 8,12 with 6,9 $32.40
$0.10 pick 6: 6,8,13 with 2,7,9 with 7,9,10 with 3,6 with 8,12 with 6,9 $21.60
$0.10 pick 6: 6,8,13 with 2,7,9 with 7,9,10 with 8,9,10 with 3 with 6,9 $16.20
$0.10 pick 6: 6,8,13 with 2,7,9 with 7,9,10 with 8,9,10 with 8,12 with 2,10,12 $48.60
$0.10 pick 6: 10,11 with 3,4,12 with 7,9,10 with 3,6 with 8,12 with 6,9 $14.40
$0.10 pick 6: 10,11 with 3,4,12 with 7,9,10 with 8,9,10 with 3 with 6,9 $10.80
$0.10 pick 6: 10,11 with 3,4,12 with 7,9,10 with 8,9,10 with 8,12 with 2,10,12 $32.40
$0.10 pick 6: 10,11 with 2,7,9 with 7,9,10 with 3,6 with 3 with 6,9 $7.20
$0.10 pick 6: 10,11 with 2,7,9 with 7,9,10 with 3,6 with 8,12 with 2,10,12 $21.60
$0.10 pick 6: 10,11 with 2,7,9 with 7,9,10 with 8,9,10 with 3 with 2,10,12 $16.20
$0.10 pick 6: 2,12 with 2,7,9 with 7,9,10 with 8,9,10 with 8,12 with 6,9 $21.60
$0.10 pick 6: 10,11 with 8 with 7,9,10 with 8,9,10 with 8,12 with 6,9 $7.20
$0.10 pick 6: 10,11 with 2,7,9 with 3,6 with 8,9,10 with 8,12 with 6,9 $14.40
$0.10 pick 6: 10,11 with 2,7,9 with 7,9,10 with 2,11 with 8,12 with 6,9 $14.40
$0.10 pick 6: 10,11 with 2,7,9 with 7,9,10 with 8,9,10 with 1,2,5,11 with 6,9 $43.20

I'm being lazy, how much was this?

[hockey2315]

Originally Posted by Scav

I'm being lazy, how much was this?

$455.40

[PeteMugg]

Originally Posted by dellinger63

.80 stab lol

Keeneland is far more interesting to me

10,11/4/10/8,9/1,2/9

You're such a cheapskate. Even I can go $1.20.

6,10
3,8,9
7,10
2
12
5

[philcski]

Originally Posted by dagolfer33

I've invested $19.20 in a personal ticket and $20 in the TS players pool. Best case scenario I win a few hundred bucks, worst case I lose $40. Play ball.

Golfer, do you have the TS players' pool ticket? Curious to see how they structured their play.

[Scav]

Originally Posted by philcski

Golfer, do you have the TS players' pool ticket? Curious to see how they structured their play.

I'd love to see what TS played also, it should give a laugh or two.

[herkhorse]

I wanted to put 10 bucks in the twinspires pool just to see the tickets, but I was to late. Pretty tough to turn a profit on 100,000, but they must have had it a few times at least.