Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > The Paddock
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #41  
Old 04-10-2011, 09:22 AM
Travis Stone's Avatar
Travis Stone Travis Stone is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Louisiana
Posts: 2,229
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Gin talking View Post
Nothing against Repole putting money in the business and supporting racing is great. Do not quote me but I think he made comments about running horses more and showing off uncle mo, (correct me if I am wrong). Then he runs him twice before the derby, and you know damn well if Mo had swept the triple crown he would have been sent to the shed right away. As for Pletcher maybe he had no choice but to run him in the races he did, we all know Repole wanted the Wood all along, but could an extra race helped?
There are obviously theories and thoughts as to why everything panned-out like it did. It's odd though that a horse arrives at Palm Meadows in early December but does not start in a "race" until early March.

That said, he obviously worked hard yesterday and that should tighten him up. But I'm skeptical about his ability, at this point, to recapture his 2-year-old form.
Reply With Quote
  #42  
Old 04-10-2011, 09:26 AM
Thunder Gulch's Avatar
Thunder Gulch Thunder Gulch is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Southland Greyhound Park
Posts: 1,846
Default

I'll just say that I'm really disappointed, though not shocked. He was handled this spring in a fashion that coming up short was almost to be expected, even for an enormously talented individual as he showed himself to be last year. I wanted to believe- really I did. I don't need better odds or a Derby "score", I wanted a superstar....I hope he's not hurt, and I hope he gets tight in the next 4 weeks, but this just sucks today.
__________________
Do I think Charity can win? Well, I am walking around in yesterday's suit.
Reply With Quote
  #43  
Old 04-10-2011, 09:53 AM
Gin talking Gin talking is offline
Yearling
 
Join Date: Mar 2011
Location: Orlando Florida
Posts: 8
Default

As good of a trainer as Pletcher is, and his numbers say he is the best in the game. That being said, he gets the best horses year after year and his Derby record is poor. So maybe his method of getting horses to the derby is not the best? I do not know.
Reply With Quote
  #44  
Old 04-10-2011, 10:15 AM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,293
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by fpsoxfan View Post
Envy (also called invidiousness) is best defined as an emotion that "occurs when a person lacks another's (perceived) superior quality, achievement, or possession and either desires it or wishes that the other lacked it."[1]

Envy can also derive from a sense of low self-esteem that results from an upward social comparison threatening a person's self image: another person has something that the envier considers to be important to have. If the other person is perceived to be similar to the envier, the aroused envy will be particularly intense, because it signals to the envier that it just as well could have been he or she who had the desired object.[2][3]
You've got to be kidding.

Is it April Fool's Day again.
Reply With Quote
  #45  
Old 04-10-2011, 10:19 AM
fpsoxfan's Avatar
fpsoxfan fpsoxfan is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Fort Plain
Posts: 2,485
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dahoss View Post
You've got to be kidding.

Is it April Fool's Day again.
Just sayin my man. I'm not necessarily saying their yours, but if the shoe fits..........
Reply With Quote
  #46  
Old 04-10-2011, 10:34 AM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,293
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by fpsoxfan View Post
Just sayin my man. I'm not necessarily saying their yours, but if the shoe fits..........
Interesting. If you dislike someone who comes off as a pompous douche, you're envious of them. Anyone catch the comments he made in regards to Zito and the Florida Derby? Douchebag move.

And maybe I missed something, but the trainer is still Pletcher. Did he become beloved all of the sudden and I missed it? Wasn't there a thread just last week (after his horses ran like energizer bunnies at Gulfstream all weekend) about him?
Reply With Quote
  #47  
Old 04-10-2011, 10:45 AM
NTamm1215 NTamm1215 is offline
Havre de Grace
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 5,629
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dahoss View Post
Interesting. If you dislike someone who comes off as a pompous douche, you're envious of them. Anyone catch the comments he made in regards to Zito and the Florida Derby? Douchebag move.

And maybe I missed something, but the trainer is still Pletcher. Did he become beloved all of the sudden and I missed it? Wasn't there a thread just last week (after his horses ran like energizer bunnies at Gulfstream all weekend) about him?
He has a history of running his mouth and saying dumb things because he can't say no to the camera. He did the same thing last year before the Hopeful with his line about how he was confident that Stay Thirsty would be much better than Boys at Tosconova in 2011.

If it's bringing you some satisfaction that Uncle Mo lost yesterday you're probably not envious, a miserable person, or someone who hates Indian Charlie.
Reply With Quote
  #48  
Old 04-10-2011, 10:50 AM
fpsoxfan's Avatar
fpsoxfan fpsoxfan is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Fort Plain
Posts: 2,485
Default

Once again, I posted that as a general comment in response to some people asking why this guy is not liked. It wasn't necessarily aimed at you.

I posted this after I researched and read up on the guy. I couldn't find anything negative about him. Therefore, the only thing I could come up with is envy. There are many out there that are pissed at their own lives, so they try to make themselves feel better by cutting others down.
Reply With Quote
  #49  
Old 04-10-2011, 10:50 AM
richard burch's Avatar
richard burch richard burch is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: new jersey
Posts: 1,752
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dahoss View Post
Interesting. If you dislike someone who comes off as a pompous douche, you're envious of them. Anyone catch the comments he made in regards to Zito and the Florida Derby? Douchebag move.

And maybe I missed something, but the trainer is still Pletcher. Did he become beloved all of the sudden and I missed it? Wasn't there a thread just last week (after his horses ran like energizer bunnies at Gulfstream all weekend) about him?
Yes, I did catch those comments....and when I mentioned it here on this board i was called "stupid" by some of the "smart" people on this board. i'm just happy i wasn't one of the "smart" ones who wagered $466,788 to win on mo because the pick 3 that i played paid very nicely!
__________________
Support your local Re-run or horse rescue organization.
https://www.rerunottb.com/:)
Reply With Quote
  #50  
Old 04-10-2011, 10:51 AM
fpsoxfan's Avatar
fpsoxfan fpsoxfan is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Fort Plain
Posts: 2,485
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by NTamm1215 View Post
He has a history of running his mouth and saying dumb things because he can't say no to the camera. He did the same thing last year before the Hopeful with his line about how he was confident that Stay Thirsty would be much better than Boys at Tosconova in 2011.

If it's bringing you some satisfaction that Uncle Mo lost yesterday you're probably not envious, a miserable person, or someone who hates Indian Charlie.

Oh so it's an image thing. I get it. Hmmmmm
Reply With Quote
  #51  
Old 04-10-2011, 10:59 AM
HaloWishingwell's Avatar
HaloWishingwell HaloWishingwell is offline
Ak-Sar-Ben
 
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: New Jersey
Posts: 654
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dahoss View Post
Interesting. If you dislike someone who comes off as a pompous douche, you're envious of them. Anyone catch the comments he made in regards to Zito and the Florida Derby? Douchebag move.

And maybe I missed something, but the trainer is still Pletcher. Did he become beloved all of the sudden and I missed it? Wasn't there a thread just last week (after his horses ran like energizer bunnies at Gulfstream all weekend) about him?
Now those comments makes him come off as a sore loser and envious
Reply With Quote
  #52  
Old 04-10-2011, 12:42 PM
Bigsmc's Avatar
Bigsmc Bigsmc is offline
Goodwood
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 8,577
Default

I am envious of Richard Burch and his redboarding skills.
Reply With Quote
  #53  
Old 04-10-2011, 12:42 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,293
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by fpsoxfan View Post
Once again, I posted that as a general comment in response to some people asking why this guy is not liked. It wasn't necessarily aimed at you.

I posted this after I researched and read up on the guy. I couldn't find anything negative about him. Therefore, the only thing I could come up with is envy. There are many out there that are pissed at their own lives, so they try to make themselves feel better by cutting others down.
It wasn't aimed at me, but you told me if the shoe fits. Whatever, own it if you're going to insult me.

I wanted him to win. I needed him for a bet (not paying much but better than ripping it up) and he seemed like a really good one, in an era with so few of them. I wasn't happy at all he lost.

But it doesn't make his human connections easy to root for and it has nothing to do with envy.
Reply With Quote
  #54  
Old 04-10-2011, 12:58 PM
fpsoxfan's Avatar
fpsoxfan fpsoxfan is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Fort Plain
Posts: 2,485
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dahoss View Post
It wasn't aimed at me, but you told me if the shoe fits. Whatever, own it if you're going to insult me.

I wanted him to win. I needed him for a bet (not paying much but better than ripping it up) and he seemed like a really good one, in an era with so few of them. I wasn't happy at all he lost.

But it doesn't make his human connections easy to root for and it has nothing to do with envy.
I would never insult you Hoss!
Reply With Quote
  #55  
Old 04-10-2011, 01:16 PM
MisterB's Avatar
MisterB MisterB is offline
Woodbine
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Saratoga
Posts: 1,040
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by 3kings View Post
I hope this is just the 3:48 AM talking because this is ignorant. The guy gave out a $120. horse earlier in the day and if you boxed his horses in that race it was a $3000. tri. Yet you get on him for missing on a horse that looked far superior on paper. I'm sorry someone held a gun to your head and made you bet what he said. Many on here appreciate Andy, Doug, Nick T, and Steve for giving their insight and it has helped us become better handicappers. Don't be such an @hole, if you aren't willing to lose on some one else's opinion, don't use it.
I didn't bet the horse, it was a bad bet, even in a P4. Something I learned from Andy. I know he had a bomb earlier, I listen to his show everyday. Your digging for burning embers, when there is none. Pointing out something he teaches, so what. What does getting up early getting ready to work have anything to with anything? Some people just love to start up BS.
Reply With Quote
  #56  
Old 04-10-2011, 03:03 PM
HaloWishingwell's Avatar
HaloWishingwell HaloWishingwell is offline
Ak-Sar-Ben
 
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: New Jersey
Posts: 654
Default

Uncle Mo apparently will get some bloodwork. Hopefully he is not suffering from Lifeattenitis


http://www.drf.com/news/uncle-mo-hav...ky-derby-trail
Reply With Quote
  #57  
Old 04-10-2011, 09:25 PM
MaTH716's Avatar
MaTH716 MaTH716 is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Jersey
Posts: 11,438
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by MisterB View Post
I didn't bet the horse, it was a bad bet, even in a P4. Something I learned from Andy. I know he had a bomb earlier, I listen to his show everyday. Your digging for burning embers, when there is none. Pointing out something he teaches, so what. What does getting up early getting ready to work have anything to with anything? Some people just love to start up BS.
I just want to know why you think it was a bad bet?
To me on paper, I thought the horse looked unbeatable. I thought the Motion horse was a little intriguing with the addition of blinkers, but I thought that there was going to be other horses looking for the lead as well. That's why I was kind of shocked when Uncle Mo found the lead so early. The race just never came together the way I envisioned it. Also, I never thought Toby's Corner was going to be the one coming late especially with the addition of the shades.

I didn't bet the race or the sequence, but I will admit Uncle Mo would have been a definite single on any ticket I would have put in. Then I could have spread in the other races where it looked like it was going to be needed. Like I said, I'm just curious why you feel like it was a bad bet.


Quote:
Originally Posted by Bigsmc View Post
I am envious of Richard Burch and his redboarding skills.
What do you have against the guy having a pick 3 that paid very nicely?...................
__________________
Felix Unger talking to Oscar Madison: "Your horse could finish third by 20 lengths and they still pay you? And you have been losing money for all these years?!"
Reply With Quote
  #58  
Old 04-11-2011, 04:36 AM
MisterB's Avatar
MisterB MisterB is offline
Woodbine
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Saratoga
Posts: 1,040
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by MaTH716 View Post
I just want to know why you think it was a bad bet?
To me on paper, I thought the horse looked unbeatable. I thought the Motion horse was a little intriguing with the addition of blinkers, but I thought that there was going to be other horses looking for the lead as well. That's why I was kind of shocked when Uncle Mo found the lead so early. The race just never came together the way I envisioned it. Also, I never thought Toby's Corner was going to be the one coming late especially with the addition of the shades.

I didn't bet the race or the sequence, but I will admit Uncle Mo would have been a definite single on any ticket I would have put in. Then I could have spread in the other races where it looked like it was going to be needed. Like I said, I'm just curious why you feel like it was a bad bet.
You are suppose to try and beat horses at these odds. Granted he looked unbeatable, so the second thing you look at is investment vs payoff. Anyone and everyone had Mo as a single on a P4 ticket if they played one. That alone draws down the pot. Given the fact that the Favs have been coming in at a 40%+ rate at the Big A all winter, how much do you think it would have payed vs your investment. To me, not enough to lay out 5x5x1x5.
Reply With Quote
  #59  
Old 04-11-2011, 05:49 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,047
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by MisterB View Post
You are suppose to try and beat horses at these odds. Granted he looked unbeatable, so the second thing you look at is investment vs payoff. Anyone and everyone had Mo as a single on a P4 ticket if they played one. That alone draws down the pot. Given the fact that the Favs have been coming in at a 40%+ rate at the Big A all winter, how much do you think it would have payed vs your investment. To me, not enough to lay out 5x5x1x5.
'Faves all winter on the Inner Track' have zero to do with the Wood Memorial and the all stakes P4 sequence Saturday. Yes you try and beat horses at short odds within races and in multi-race bets. Except you do so when they appear clearly questionable or vulnerable. But in the circumstance Saturday, you needed a large bankroll to be so clever as to attack the quad with the assumption Uncle Mo might lose.

I had suggested a 5x5x2x1 play for $50. The P4 to Uncle Mo was paying $200, so you were getting 4-1 in that case. Toby's Corner was the right 'other' horse, if you believed there was an 'other' horse, and the P4 paid $4,000 (80-1). The problem with trying to get clever Saturday was that the Comely and Bay Shore were tricky, and required slightly wide-cast nets. (4 possible winners in the Comely? As many as 5 plausable winners in the Bay Shore?) The Carter was, for me anyway, Apriority and Morning Line only, so that helped. But trying to get to Toby's Corner on back-up tickets was hard to accept as a prop given that you easily could have ended up with an Ava K (3-2), JJ's Lucky Train (2-1), Apriority (3-2), Uncle Mo (1-9) parlay that returned $37.50.

So in addition to spending $50 on the main ticket, which covers the vast majority of the most likely possible outcomes, your view is that public handicappers suggest to people that they spend an additional $50 to try and snare a much less likely outcome. And those handicappers are supposed to do that knowing that the likliest outcomes may not cover the cost of the tickets? And by the way, Arthur's Tale ended up every bit as 'good' in the race as the winner, so even if you backed up with Toby's Corner, you may have ended up losing had Arthur's Tale gotten to the wire. Or should it have been suggested that people spend another $50 covering Arthur's Tale?
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
Reply With Quote
  #60  
Old 04-11-2011, 06:20 AM
MisterB's Avatar
MisterB MisterB is offline
Woodbine
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Saratoga
Posts: 1,040
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
'Faves all winter on the Inner Track' have zero to do with the Wood Memorial and the all stakes P4 sequence Saturday. Yes you try and beat horses at short odds within races and in multi-race bets. Except you do so when they appear clearly questionable or vulnerable. But in the circumstance Saturday, you needed a large bankroll to be so clever as to attack the quad with the assumption Uncle Mo might lose.

I had suggested a 5x5x2x1 play for $50. The P4 to Uncle Mo was paying $200, so you were getting 4-1 in that case. Toby's Corner was the right 'other' horse, if you believed there was an 'other' horse, and the P4 paid $4,000 (80-1). The problem with trying to get clever Saturday was that the Comely and Bay Shore were tricky, and required slightly wide-cast nets. (4 possible winners in the Comely? As many as 5 plausable winners in the Bay Shore?) The Carter was, for me anyway, Apriority and Morning Line only, so that helped. But trying to get to Toby's Corner on back-up tickets was hard to accept as a prop given that you easily could have ended up with an Ava K (3-2), JJ's Lucky Train (2-1), Apriority (3-2), Uncle Mo (1-9) parlay that returned $37.50.

So in addition to spending $50 on the main ticket, which covers the vast majority of the most likely possible outcomes, your view is that public handicappers suggest to people that they spend an additional $50 to try and snare a much less likely outcome. And those handicappers are supposed to do that knowing that the likliest outcomes may not cover the cost of the tickets? And by the way, Arthur's Tale ended up every bit as 'good' in the race as the winner, so even if you backed up with Toby's Corner, you may have ended up losing had Arthur's Tale gotten to the wire. Or should it have been suggested that people spend another $50 covering Arthur's Tale?
Thanks, but favs do come into the picture when figuring your ticket will be hit with a fav in your sequence, plus your single. I nor anyone else would have covered beyond Mo, at least I wouldn't have. I still say Mo was a bad bet as a single in the P4, even with a 50.00 ticket. 4-1 isn't a very good return on a P4.

Most public handicappers didn't say to spread at all here. And your P4 50.00 play was for a buck, so you where getting 2-1, not 4-1.

Last edited by MisterB : 04-11-2011 at 06:39 AM.
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 10:02 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.