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#1
12-22-2010, 05:01 PM
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That's a really nice field for the Sir Beaufort.
As an aside, isn't Tyler due back right around now? 
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#2
12-22-2010, 05:12 PM
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Setsuko back from the dead, sure to take way too much money!
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#3
12-22-2010, 09:22 PM
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He's also eligible for a first-condition allowance, making this entry in a Grade 1 a pretty bold move. There was a two-turn allowance the 2nd to last day at HP (won by Tweebster) he could have started in. Furthermore, having started favorite in the Crown Royal Turf on Kentucky Oaks Day and with a solid effort on turf previously, he also could have shown up in the Sir Beaufort. Again, he hasn't shown sprint speed previously (though his bottom side is loaded with it--Souvenir Copy, Gold Tribute, Doneraile Court), so this has the look of merely a tune-up race and he'd need a total meltdown to get it done. Noble's Promise and Caracortado should get the jump on him and be tough to run down. Regardless of the outcome in the Malibu, hopefully he's improved from the spring and will be a presence in the handicap ranks next year.
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#4
12-22-2010, 10:03 PM
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Anyone have thoughts on Twirling Candy?
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#5
12-22-2010, 10:07 PM
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Most likely winner. 2 horse race, him and the 2/2 freaky Baffert.
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#6
12-22-2010, 10:14 PM
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I don't think the cutback helps him as he seems to be a frontrunning type. Having to lock horns with top class sprinter Smiling Tiger (who has faced his elders with great success in his last 4 starts--all at the top level) and perhaps Alcindor seems like a recipe for another brick wall collision midstretch.
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#7
12-22-2010, 10:16 PM
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The cutback is exactly what he needs. He will sit just off the pace as the draw is perfect for him. Unless Alcindor is a total freak I think he wins.
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#8
12-22-2010, 10:23 PM
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I agree he could contend if he settles early. But why are Caracortado and Noble's Promise hopeless, as they are certain to get the trip you envision for Twirling Candy, and have already benefitted from cutting back in their most recent starts? Certainly the latter is much more proven at the top level than Twirling Candy.
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#9
12-26-2010, 07:18 PM
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#10
12-26-2010, 11:28 PM
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For the record, he probably would have won the lowly Sir Beaufort as well if Sadler swapped those two colts.
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#11
12-22-2010, 05:13 PM
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I dont think its that nice at all. I would love to try and beat Sidney, but with who?
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#12
12-22-2010, 05:22 PM
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Sebastian, Nextdoorneighbor, Blue Panis...
Maybe I'm insane for thinking any of them could win this but I do.
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#13
12-22-2010, 05:32 PM
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I respect it, but dont see it. Maybe I will before Sunday. Thats really the only sequence I will play in the next week. I would like to come up with something more clever then keying Sidneys Candy.
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#14
12-26-2010, 06:15 PM
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 The good news for me is that I didn't play this race. The bad news is I was all over Caracortado. 
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#15
12-26-2010, 06:22 PM
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Hybrid Mode
