11/6 (CD): Breeders' Cup Saturday (Post Draw Fields; ML's)

[Scav]

Originally Posted by Scav

Morning Line as the ML favorite of the Mile. Battaglia smoking some strong stuff

I'm sorry for being obsessed with this, but could this be the worst ML in the history of BC ML's

The horse has never even won at 8 furlongs, and won a 5 horse Penn Derby.

He has to be banging someone at Churchill to be allowed to keep his job.

[randallscott35]

Originally Posted by Scav

I'm sorry for being obsessed with this, but could this be the worst ML in the history of BC ML's

The horse has never even won at 8 furlongs, and won a 5 horse Penn Derby.

He has to be banging someone at Churchill to be allowed to keep his job.

Its Battaglia, don't fret it.

[knickslions2]

Originally Posted by Scav

I'm sorry for being obsessed with this, but could this be the worst ML in the history of BC ML's

The horse has never even won at 8 furlongs, and won a 5 horse Penn Derby.

He has to be banging someone at Churchill to be allowed to keep his job.

It should be good for you if you don't like that horse

[hockey2315]

There's no way Here Comes Ben and Tizway will be 6-1 either. Scav shouldn't be happy because the race won't be bet how Battaglia thinks it will. Morning Line should be like 8-1.

[ateamstupid]

Originally Posted by knickslions2

It should be good for you if you don't like that horse

Why? What percentage of the public is going to bet according to the morning line? Battaglia's line is irrelevant, just fun to laugh at.

[parsixfarms]

Originally Posted by ateamstupid

Why? What percentage of the public is going to bet according to the morning line? Battaglia's line is irrelevant, just fun to laugh at.

A bad morning line helps in horizontal wagers if the horses that you like are considerably higher on the M/L than what their actual odds will be for betting on the race.

[hockey2315]

Originally Posted by parsixfarms

A bad morning line helps in horizontal wagers if the horses that you like are considerably higher on the M/L than what their actual odds will be for betting on the race.

Not really.

[parsixfarms]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

Not really.

Happens all the time, especially with a lot of "casual" money in the pool.

[MinnSkinny]

Bump...

[ateamstupid]

Originally Posted by parsixfarms

A bad morning line helps in horizontal wagers if the horses that you like are considerably higher on the M/L than what their actual odds will be for betting on the race.

No, it doesn't. People are going to bet how they're going to bet, horizontal or otherwise. Morning line makes very little difference, if any. It's an estimate that goes out the window once the pools open, especially giant pools like these.

[knickslions2]

Originally Posted by ateamstupid

Why? What percentage of the public is going to bet according to the morning line? Battaglia's line is irrelevant, just fun to laugh at.

Ya but there are a lot of rookies betting these races and some bet based on morning lines

[mbahadur]

Originally Posted by ateamstupid

Why? What percentage of the public is going to bet according to the morning line? Battaglia's line is irrelevant, just fun to laugh at.

12-1 on Provisio and 6-1 on Lookin at Lucky would be great if I can get those odds on Saturday.