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  #1  
Old 11-02-2010, 12:25 PM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
Flemington
 
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Originally Posted by NTamm1215 View Post
What circumstances are going to lead to a Stay Thirsty victory?

Is he going to go to the front, get the lead and stay? Doubtful with JP's Gusto and his own stablemate in the field.

Is he going to rate and finish? He had dead aim in his debut and didn't pass the eventual winner. Wishcasting that he is suddenly going to be able to rate is a horrible idea.

The respective trips of Stay Thirsty and Boys at Tosconova in the Hopeful are not enough to bridge the gap between the two. Boys at Tosconova is a much better horse right now and I don't see how you could use Stay Thirsty over him.
Rate. THe horse he could not pass in his debut is a freak, who was cranked up.
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  #2  
Old 11-02-2010, 12:37 PM
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ateamstupid ateamstupid is offline
Super Mod.. and Super Fly
 
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My only slight concern with Boys at Tosconova is his ability to go two turns. Officer is a strict sprint influence, but there appears to be distance on the damside and he was super professional in the 7-furlong Hopeful off of just two 5-furlong races.
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  #3  
Old 11-02-2010, 12:41 PM
parsixfarms parsixfarms is offline
Churchill Downs
 
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Originally Posted by ateamstupid View Post
My only slight concern with Boys at Tosconova is his ability to go two turns. Officer is a strict sprint influence, but there appears to be distance on the damside and he was super professional in the 7-furlong Hopeful off of just two 5-furlong races.
While his dam won the majority of her $$ going long, there's not a lot of distance in that female family.
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  #4  
Old 11-02-2010, 01:19 PM
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ateamstupid ateamstupid is offline
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Originally Posted by parsixfarms View Post
While his dam won the majority of her $$ going long, there's not a lot of distance in that female family.
Little Bonnet was a pretty nice horse going long, which is significant to me even if the 2nd and 3rd family's distance isn't there.
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