Quote:
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Originally Posted by oracle80
Gonna need 6 years to get a 30 race sample comparable to the 29 run so far.
2005- Folklore wired em 1/5
2004- Ghostzapper wired em 1/5(2/10)
2003- Adoration wired em 1/5 (3/15)
2002- Vindication wired em
Azeri wired em 2/5 (5/20)
2001- no wire jobs 0/5 (5/25)
2000- Tiznow wired em 1/5 (6/30)
Ok so thats 20%, with big fields at 5 different race tracks, some who are regarded as closer favoring tracks moreso than others, some with no noted bias, and some with a noted speed edge. Ho hum.
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I'd think 15-20% should be about right. I think you need a few more than 29 races to draw a conclusion but if it gets to 100 races and you still have less than 8 wire to wire winners then they might want to tweak it a little. Didn't Turfway have similar problems at first and then fixed it?
10-11-2006, 05:18 PM
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