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Old 09-23-2010, 10:55 AM
The Indomitable DrugS's Avatar
The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 11,007
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I've always been a big fan of this quote ....

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NHipzGL4dwM


And, it's a pretty big reason why I put zero effort into handicapping football games - and just watch as a fan and don't bet a whole lot on a game when I do bet one.

There's way too much sh!t that you don't know, can't determine, and can't properly account for. A lot that you can't predict or even make an educated guess at.

A lot of games are determined by one or two big plays - sometimes by a bounce of the ball... but stuff like that will even out over time.

Baseball seems like such a cold numbers and situations game that suits me better. If I ever tried to bet a major sport it would be baseball ... I just can't stand baseball though. Guys like Coach Pants and Phil seem to do a really good job with football ... but in my mind, guys like that are like the Anti Meyer Lansky types. Meyer Lansky always seems to walk into the traps - where some guys have a good enough feel to survey the scene and consistantly be right a little more often than not.
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