Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > The Paddock
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #61  
Old 04-23-2010, 10:44 PM
philcski's Avatar
philcski philcski is offline
Goodwood
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Mission Viejo, CA
Posts: 8,872
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by the_fat_man View Post
Let's do this. You take some serious bankroll and play closers at MTH this summer. I suppose 'reality' might set in then.

I have nothing against playing speed. I play speed all the time, even on POLY (even at WO). My problem is when horses running other than early don't have a fair chance to win. This is the case at MTH; it's the case at MED; and it's also, pretty much, the case at GP. Compare GP to TAM. You can win on the front end at TAM probably as easily as you can at GP. The important difference, however, is that you have significantly better chance of winning from off the pace at TAM than you do at GP. Maybe this why so many bettors have moved from GP to TAM.

I don't need stats to tell me the above. I play these tracks and I'm very aware of how they play.

They can pretty MTH up all they want; it's still UNFAIR.
Listen, I'm not trying to convince you that it's a closer's paradise, because it isn't. All I'm suggesting is it's not as unfair as you (and most everyone) believe. Meadowlands is actually more kind to closers than Belmont or Saratoga. Here's the thing. This game isn't just an exercise in picking the most winners, it's picking winners that return more than the next guy does. So if the public seems to think that only wins, you can use that to your advantage. From 2004-2007, the average wire job at Monmouth paid $9.80 versus anything off the pace paid $12.80. If you can find a horse that makes sense coming from off the pace, you will get rewarded accordingly.

In comparison, Belmont, paid $11.60 for wire jobs and $10.80 for anything off the pace.
__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
Reply With Quote
  #62  
Old 09-08-2010, 10:06 AM
philcski's Avatar
philcski philcski is offline
Goodwood
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Mission Viejo, CA
Posts: 8,872
Default

http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-raci...s-record-gains
__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
Reply With Quote
  #63  
Old 09-08-2010, 10:30 AM
Coach Pants
 
Posts: n/a
Default

What a disaster.
Reply With Quote
  #64  
Old 09-08-2010, 10:49 AM
randallscott35's Avatar
randallscott35 randallscott35 is offline
Idlewild Airport
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: USA
Posts: 9,687
Default

A simply astounding performance. Should be a wakeup call to the industry including that in NJ. I understand it is possibly a one shot deal, especially with the state's problems. That said I am hoping other tracks do similar meets.
Reply With Quote
  #65  
Old 09-08-2010, 11:32 AM
Antitrust32 Antitrust32 is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Ft Lauderdale
Posts: 9,413
Default

amazing. Best meet of 2010.

87% increase total handle on track up 2 mil even with 33 less racing days.

average daily handle up 213%. field size up 25% attendance up 47%

unbelievable

congrats to Monmouth.
__________________
Quote:
Originally Posted by Riot View Post
Can I start just making stuff up out of thin air, too?
Reply With Quote
  #66  
Old 09-08-2010, 11:37 AM
reese reese is offline
Delaware Park
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: New York
Posts: 192
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ateamstupid View Post
Can't wait for Monmouth to give away all that money and still watch Levine and Servis win 80% of the races.

Really smart move by Gomez. It'll be interesting if any other top jocks follow.
John Valezques' agent, Cordero said the SAME thing at the beginning of the MON meet...and WHERE did Valezquez race...NYRA.


Maybe Gomez doesn't want to compete with NY jockeys...he wasn't the "star" at Saratoga.
Reply With Quote
  #67  
Old 09-08-2010, 12:55 PM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 11,208
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by reese View Post
John Valezques' agent, Cordero said the SAME thing at the beginning of the MON meet...and WHERE did Valezquez race...NYRA.


Maybe Gomez doesn't want to compete with NY jockeys...he wasn't the "star" at Saratoga.
He still had at least 3 Grade 1 wins at the best meet in the US.
Reply With Quote
  #68  
Old 09-08-2010, 08:49 PM
dalakhani's Avatar
dalakhani dalakhani is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Washington dc
Posts: 5,277
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by philcski View Post
I wonder what the overall difference was in bottom line?
Reply With Quote
  #69  
Old 09-10-2010, 09:34 AM
Revidere's Avatar
Revidere Revidere is offline
Washington Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: New Jersey
Posts: 861
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 View Post
He still had at least 3 Grade 1 wins at the best meet in the US.
I was able to speak off hand with Gomez in July, and I asked him how he enjoyed the meet so far. He said, while he loved the area and had high hopes for the meet to go on, his comments were basically a 5,000 claimer is a 5,000 claimer regardless of the purse, so he spends more time in the jockeys room than riding.
__________________
Revidere
Reply With Quote
  #70  
Old 09-11-2010, 07:52 AM
johnny pinwheel johnny pinwheel is offline
Woodbine
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: saratoga ny
Posts: 986
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by the_fat_man View Post
Who ****in' cares where Gomez rides? How does where any jock rides impact on one's ability to pick (and bet) winners? Don't get paid for being a fan.
why do you give away "trade" secrets? thats how half of these people bet. they become a "fan" and bet their favorite horse or jock. something you'll never,ever make money on.(over time) yeah. we need gomez really bad in ny.....the only one that had more bad rides at saratoga was lezcano. he maybe the most over rated jock around. who cares where he rides....fools that bet jocks..thats who.
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 06:43 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.