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#1
07-24-2010, 03:58 AM
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7/24: Saratoga (Day 2-CCA OAKS; $42k C/O)
Despite a brutal day of weather, in fact the first significant rain of the entire summer thus far, Saratoga opening day was a complete pleasure. From the crowd of 23,000, to all sources handle in excess of $13,000,000 (with three races off the turf), to 5 of 10 winners paying over $20.00 tripping enormous exotics and multis, to performances like Vineyard Haven's in the James Marvin, it took just one day of Saratoga to remind anyone of racing's best attributes.
Things clicked early as Best Value second choice Dontstealmyland ran them all down in the season opener as the longest shot on the board (23-1), tipping payments of $48.60, $22.20, $7.10, the $226 exacta and $953 triple with top choice Seattle Mission (4-5) third and 4th choice Sir Dunstan (13-1). I only had the winner on a win/place ticket, but this kind of score got the meet off on a great note and provides the bankroll girding that can trigger aggressive play which frequently is rewarded. Trained by regular ATR caller Kerry 'Kerry from Saratoga' Metiver, Dontstealmyland was discussed on ATR Thursday and Friday as the kind of horse to use and play with on the chance that a favorite like Seattle Mission falters, and that's exactly what happened. In turf races particularly, these are the opportunities on which you hope to capitalize at Saratoga. The son of Badge had run a nice race two weeks back at Suffolk in which he flashed his predilection for turf while 'pairing up' to his previous career best performance. Any improvement was going to make the 4yo grey competitive with the group he was facing, and the addition of a skilled turf pilot like Leparoux made Dontstealmyland a prime longshot play. Had to abandon the off the turf races (4th-6th) with no chance to rework selections, but listeners to the afternoon feed of At the Races were directed to Cinder Cone who won ($29). The day's best effort came from Vineyard Haven who turned in a sparkler in the James Marvin that earned a 102 Beyer that stamps him as one of the early favorites for the BC Mile. It was a fun, if soggy, opening salvo of the Saratoga summer, and I hope you did well! Great Saturday of action in the offing besides the Coaching Club American Oaks and Spa slate, which includes a $42k P6 carryover, as Rachel Alexandra looks to put on an exhibition at Monmouth, the Claiming Crown runs at Canterbury and the Gr. I Eddie Read highlights ol' Del Mar. SARATOGA POST-SCRATCHES 1st: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m OFF TURF (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #7 Abilio 5-2 3rd Next Best: #11 Mineswept 8-5 WON ($3.40) Best Value: #8 Leatherhead 6-1 6th 2nd: NY-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Not much to go on; As with Friday, tough way to open P4.. Most Likely: #4 D' Sauvage 5-2 2nd Next Best: #2 Never Right Joey 3-1 WON ($6.60) Exotics Use: #7 Private Rules 8-1 6th 3rd: MSW, 3+, 8.5f OFF TURF (P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #6 Baatesh 8-1 3rd Next Best: #1 Chairman Now 5-2 2nd Exotics Use: #11 Keep Me Informed 7-2 WON ($4.80) Super Add: #9 El Primero 9-2 6th 4th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD, Super) What's better than a grass mile with no standouts? Spread a bit here with even Northern Giant a serious player given strong pattern and nice pedigree for lawn bow.. SCR'S get Xodo, as well as #12 Piazza Di Spagna into the field.. Best Value: #4 Compliance Officer 12-1 WON ($13.80) Next Best: #11 Xodo 5-1 5th Exotics Use: #12 Piazza Di Spagna 20-1 7th Super Add: #7 Northern Giant 12-1 3rd 5th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super) Quirky way to start the P6 carryover sequence Most Likely: #9 Lindsay Point 9-2 WON ($8.00) Best Value: #3 Late SCR - Went nuts in paddock Next Best: #4 Heck 7-2 7th Super Add: #10 Kaitlyn Ann 4-1 5th <$75 P4 Play: 2: 2-4 3: 1-6-11 4: 4-7-11-12 5: 3-4-9 2x3x4x3 = $72 $1 P4 (2-2/3/7/8/10/11-4-9) Paid $359.00 6th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD, Super) On a firm course, I'd use the top two in multis and key only in-race, but turf condition may come into play as bioth have been less effective on going with cut to it.. Note that #3 Saginaw has been tried to get on grass over and over last fall.. Most Likely: #8 Hangingbyathread 7-2: Owns edge; Softer going an issue? 6th Best Value: #7 Spa City Fever 6-1: Gets first run; Again, going gives pause.. WON ($12.20) Next Best: #3 Saginaw 8-1 3rd Super Add: #11 Midnight Billy 8-1 4th 7th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #1a Joe Vann 7-2 6th Next Best: #7 Soldat 2-1 2nd Exotics Use: #8 Wine Police 6-1 WON ($7.10) 8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #4 Ash Zee 2-1: Anything near last effort wins.. WON ($3.40) Best Value: #6 Patience Drive 8-1: Benzel effective off these breaks.. 7th Next Best: #1 Zonga Zing 7-2 3rd Super Add: #7 SCR 9th: 94th Coaching Club American Oaks (G1), 3yo-F, 9f (DD, Super) Outstanding, deep and balanced cast for this august standard which may have found new life as a natural stepping stone towards the Alabama.. Most Likely: #7 Devil May Care 6-5 WON ($3.40) Best Value: #8 Acting Happy 5-1 3rd Next Best: #1 Bahama Bound 8-1 4th Super Add: #6 Biofuel 6-1 2nd 10th: MSW, 3+, 6f (Super) Oof.. tough nightcap.. Most Likely: #8 Ae Pit 3-1 8th Best Value: #7 Grand Strategy 8-1 8th Next Best: #4 Equestrio 9-2 5th Super Add: #3 Cravin Caden 8-1 4th <$150 P6 Play: 5: 3-9 6: 3-7-8 7: 1 8: 4 9: 7 10: ALL 2x3x1x1x1x10 = 60 x $2 = $120 $2 P6 (9/7/8/4,7/2,4,7/6) Paid $83.50 (5OF6) @$75 P4 Play: 7: 1-7 8: 4 9: 1-6-7-8 10: ALL 2x1x4x10 = $80 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 07-25-2010 at 02:58 AM. 
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#3
07-24-2010, 06:52 AM
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Thanks G.
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__________________
Don't sweat the petty things and don't pet the sweaty things.
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#5
07-24-2010, 10:22 AM
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Weather: PARTLY CLOUDY, 73 (Morning)
CLOUDY, 80 (Post) Track: MUDDY Turf: YIELDING Turf Races: 4,6- ON TURF ( 1,3,10 - OFF TURF ) Inner: Set at 9 Ft Mellon: Set at 0 Ft P6 Carryover: $42,112.00 Takeout - 26.00 % DAILY NOTES RACE 1-OFF TURF @ 7 FUR; RACE 3-OFF TURF @ 1 1/8 MI; RACE 1- NO SUPERFECTA; RACE 9- NO SUPERFECTA SCRATCHES Race Program # Horse Time Notes 1 2 Franklin Delano Early NO SUPERFECTA 3 Wishingonadream Early 4 Mr. Hooker Early 6 Tom Kitten Early 10 Thunder Chief Early 2 5 Cousin Frankie Early 3 2 Distant Sky Early 7 Rock America Early 8 Joshua Reynolds Early 10 Cinnamon Beach Early 4 8 Strong Commitment Early 9 Ad Infinitum Early 10 Slevin Early 13 Cherokee Speed Early 15 Versailles Road Early 16 Romans Reward Early 5 2 Soldierette Early 8 Moonwalk Beauty Early 6 2 Hammock Early 7 1 (poe) Biddy Early 8 7 Happy Week Early 9 2 Lisa's Booby Trap Early NO SUPERFECTA 4 Connie and Michael Early 10 1A Do It All Early 10 Paperless Early JOCKEY CHANGES Race Program # Horse Changes 3 11 Keep Me Informed Garrett Gomez 4 14 Rein King Javier Castellano MISCELLANEOUS CHANGES Race Program # Horse Changes 1 8 Leatherhead RIDGLING 4 3 Thunder Perfect +1 14 Rein King BLINKERS OFF 6 1 Come Undone RIDGLING 5 Alltiffedoff +1 8 9 How Far to Heaven BLINKERS LAST START & TODAY
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#6
07-24-2010, 10:24 AM
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Interesting to note that Gomez, in town for the CCAO, picks up the MTO mount in the 3rd
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#7
07-24-2010, 10:27 AM
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It's a Mott-trained WinStar by A.P. Indy who will probably be 2-1. I'm sure they didn't have to beg Ron Anderson.
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#8
07-24-2010, 10:31 AM
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#9
07-24-2010, 11:50 AM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#10
07-24-2010, 12:49 PM
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Cant get off Bull Hole in the 4th for some reason, gonna play doubles in the 3rd and 4th all/6 and 6/all. 10 dollar straight exacta 6-12 in the 4th.
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#12
07-24-2010, 04:39 PM
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I know that using the 8 (and the 7 I suppose) in the 7th probably busted your budget for the P6, but you deserved to hit this today. Great job on 5 out of 6!!
__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
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#13
07-24-2010, 08:37 PM
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Thanks very much! Was generally a good day and certainly had potential to be outstanding with the inclusion of the Asmussen colt. Had the right idea with the all button in the nightcap. Hope everyone did well! Looking forward to Sunday for all the obvious reasons...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#14
07-24-2010, 11:40 PM
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Quote:
__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
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#15
07-25-2010, 02:57 AM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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