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#1
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you might be right. i can not bet this horse as the favorite. i'm tired of the excuses. thats how the derby and many of these big races go. plus, people have to realize that horses that get perfect trips often have tactical speed like super saver. horses like ice box and looking at lucky have problems in half their starts. not that they can't win, its just harder. i don't know what race people saw in the derby, super saver won by almost three lengths and the second horse is not running today. post position...exucse after excuse, this horse (LAL) still has to make up about 8 lenghts as the favorite.....good luck on that happening.
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#2
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hard to tell what will happen, the derby was on a sloppy track after all. no doubt that had an affect. question is, how much of an affect? super saver seems to have gotten good at the right time, and seems to be thriving. no other horse in the field seems to be in that same boat as him, which is why i think he's the most likely winner. looking at lucky imo hasn't shown the huge ability many think he has this year. i think he's on par with several other horses. his race in arkansas showed that. he evidently was a precocious two year old, who hasn't improved as they've matured.
now, watch him win... but i just think, based on what he's done this year, he's not the big horse.
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Books serve to show a man that those original thoughts of his aren't very new at all. Abraham Lincoln |