Super Savings Indeed

[CSC]

Super Saver is 1 for 5 away from Churchill Downs, does this scare anyone?

[randallscott35]

Originally Posted by CSC

Super Saver is 1 for 5 away from Churchill Downs, does this scare anyone?

Small sample, not as if he's been awful is his other performances.

[CSC]

Originally Posted by randallscott35

Small sample, not as if he's been awful is his other performances.

I'm not saying he is not possible, he is the safest bet in the race; however both of his wins came at CD where he rode the rail with Borel aboard that it atleast makes me think it may be worth taking a shot at him considering he will be the favorite.

[2Hot4TV]

Now if LAL wins by daylite, does this put a kink in GoGo's armor as a Triple Crown big race rider?Do we see a pattern or has he just been finding the wrong horses?

[my miss storm cat]

Originally Posted by CSC

Super Saver is 1 for 5 away from Churchill Downs, does this scare anyone?

Doesn't scare me... I'm not using him in the top spot.

If I'm wrong I'll be the first to admit it but no,I don't see him winning tomorrow.

That said, I know it's a lot easier to predict who will lose than who will win.

I'm using Caracortado on top and Paddy, Aikenite and Jackson Bend in some order underneath.

Maybe I'll use SS in a super.

Good luck to all his fans and I wish him well of course, a safe trip home. I don't think he's the Triple Crown winner we'd all love to see...

Maybe next year.

[CSC]

Originally Posted by my miss storm cat

Doesn't scare me... I'm not using him in the top spot.

If I'm wrong I'll be the first to admit it but no,I don't see him winning tomorrow.

That said, I know it's a lot easier to predict who will lose than who will win.

I'm using Caracortado on top and Paddy, Aikenite and Jackson Bend in some order underneath.

Maybe I'll use SS in a super.

Good luck to all his fans and I wish him well of course, a safe trip home. I don't think he's the Triple Crown winner we'd all love to see...

Maybe next year.

Hey Stormcat,
The pace is what I will be watching, if it is anything around 47 as opposed to 46 for the half I would expect it will favor the forwardly placed horses. If it is 46 a closer could possibly take it. Aikenite will be taken back for one run, if he gets 46 to run at he has a shot, obviously I am hoping for some heat up front. Goodluck with your picks!

[2Hot4TV]

Originally Posted by CSC

Hey Stormcat,
The pace is what I will be watching, if it is anything around 47 as opposed to 46 for the half I would expect it will favor the forwardly placed horses. If it is 46 a closer could possibly take it. Aikenite will be taken back for one run, if he gets 46 to run at he has a shot, obviously I am hoping for some heat up front. Goodluck with your picks!

When was the last time a closer won this race?

Seems to me that it has favored the speed and pace ( 1,2,3,) positions.

[philcski]

Originally Posted by 2Hot4TV

When was the last time a closer won this race?

Seems to me that it has favored the speed and pace ( 1,2,3,) positions.

2007
2006
2005

[slotdirt]

Originally Posted by philcski

2007
2006
2005

Afleet Alex was a closer? Bernardini? With all due respect, but really?

[2Hot4TV]

Originally Posted by slotdirt

Afleet Alex was a closer? Bernardini? With all due respect, but really?

I was asking a ?, not claiming to be the expert. By the way how far back do you consider a horse to be a closer,,,,, say when the leaders get to the quarter pole?

[RollerDoc]

Originally Posted by slotdirt

Afleet Alex was a closer? Bernardini? With all due respect, but really?

Big Brown had one of the greatest closes in the history of the Preakness. That is if you consider the top of the stretch as closing territory.

[2Hot4TV]

Originally Posted by slotdirt

Afleet Alex was a closer? Bernardini? With all due respect, but really?

In this case AA was a closer.

[CSC]

Originally Posted by 2Hot4TV

When was the last time a closer won this race?

Seems to me that it has favored the speed and pace ( 1,2,3,) positions.

In addition closers have run well here that didn't win, Mine That Bird, Magic Wisener, Captain Bolgit ect...I'm sure I'm missing a few but it's not an impossible track to make up ground on. Obcourse it all depends if there is some pace to run at.

[randallscott35]

Originally Posted by CSC

In addition closers have run well here that didn't win, Mine That Bird, Magic Wisener, Captain Bolgit ect...I'm sure I'm missing a few but it's not an impossible track to make up ground on. Obcourse it all depends if there is some pace to run at.

Its a fair track.

[NTamm1215]

The chance that the opening half-mile in the Preakness is in :46 and change is almost non-existent. The pace is going to be very soft IMO and that's going to play into Super Saver's hands.

NT