Derby futures

[philcski]

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

Im not really an exacta player, and If Dublin did not run I would be the first on here. Hes not my main play or whatever I think the chalk will be really tough to beat, but like Ntamm said at or around 20-1 IMO hes worth using.

Seriously though, why Dublin? D. Wayne hasn't won a stakes race with a 3YO in like 8 years. Why not, say, Super Saver- who will be the same price, and has a win over the track, beat Dublin on the square, and a better chance to move up on Derby Day?

And again, while discussing contenders early especially in the Derby is important, don't lock yourself in 3 weeks out. Go back and watch every race. Digest the results and think about what really should happen. Formulate a way how each horse could potentially win. Step back and evaluate the prices at which these horses will be versus the way you decide each could potentially win. Remember the other day when you were supremely confident in Warrior's Reward? You gave a situation how and why he was going to win, at a bonus mutuel. Just because you bet Dublin in the Ark Derby doesn't mean you need to bet him again in the Ky Derby.

[Scav]

Originally Posted by philcski

Seriously though, why Dublin? D. Wayne hasn't won a stakes race with a 3YO in like 8 years. Why not, say, Super Saver- who will be the same price, and has a win over the track, beat Dublin on the square, and a better chance to move up on Derby Day?

And again, while discussing contenders early especially in the Derby is important, don't lock yourself in 3 weeks out. Go back and watch every race. Digest the results and think about what really should happen. Formulate a way how each horse could potentially win. Step back and evaluate the prices at which these horses will be versus the way you decide each could potentially win. Remember the other day when you were supremely confident in Warrior's Reward? You gave a situation how and why he was going to win, at a bonus mutuel. Just because you bet Dublin in the Ark Derby doesn't mean you need to bet him again in the Ky Derby.

Hush on Super Saver, although he should have cruised past that horse on Saturday, and he didn't gallop out that strong.

I am not sure what to think about the race.

[philcski]

Originally Posted by Scav

Hush on Super Saver, although he should have cruised past that horse on Saturday, and he didn't gallop out that strong.

I am not sure what to think about the race.

It was a strong performance from the winner, but a huge jump up. He'll go backwards in the Derby. I haven't watched the gallop out yet although that doesn't mean a whole lot to me usually (unless they look like they're going to fall apart.)

I don't think Super Saver is even good by any means. All I'm offering is a viable alternative to Dublin at roughly the same price to make PG think about his selections more.