Sidney's Candy

NTamm1215 · #1 04-01-2010, 08:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

20-1 to 30-1, he could still be the wise guy type of horse. First time dirt, Saddler, Candy Ride.... He would have a lot of things that people would like.

First time dirt and Sadler is not a good thing.

NT

The Indomitable DrugS · #2 04-01-2010, 08:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215

First time dirt and Sadler is not a good thing.

Based on what?

Sadler in dirt routes:

2007: 12-for-33 ($4.12 ROI)
2006: 15-for-66 ($1.70 ROI)
2005: 16-for-80 ($3.37 ROI)
2004: 19-for-75 ($2.40 ROI)
2003: 16-for-77 ($2.70 ROI)

2003 to 2007: 92-for-392 (23.5% wins $2.74 ROI)

NTamm1215 · #3 04-01-2010, 08:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

Based on what?

Sadler in dirt routes:

2007: 12-for-33 ($4.12 ROI)
2006: 15-for-66 ($1.70 ROI)
2005: 16-for-80 ($3.37 ROI)
2004: 19-for-75 ($2.40 ROI)
2003: 16-for-77 ($2.70 ROI)

2003 to 2007: 92-for-392 (23.5% wins $2.74 ROI)

I should have clarified it a bit more. He's 1 for his last 17 with horses going synth to dirt in stakes races including 0 for his last 14. Coco Belle in the Miss Woodford was his last winner in this category. Perhaps the sample size is a too small but I'm just not sure Sidney's Candy or Dave in Dixie are going to get better on dirt.

NT

alysheba4 · #4 04-01-2010, 08:55 PM

if he runs well sat. he will be 7 to 11/1 range....who is to say he wont love churchill.......

The Indomitable DrugS · #5 04-01-2010, 08:58 PM

I don't want much to do with him if he runs well Saturday.

I think he runs like a dirt horse - just as I think Interactif (who ate into his margin sharply late) runs like a synthetic horse.

NTamm1215 · #6 04-01-2010, 09:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

I don't want much to do with him if he runs well Saturday.

I think he runs like a dirt horse - just as I think Interactif (who ate into his margin sharply late) runs like a synthetic horse.

I think Interactif has a strong chance to give Todd Pletcher his sixth last-place finisher.

NT

RockHardTen1985 · #7 04-01-2010, 09:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

I don't want much to do with him if he runs well Saturday.

I think he runs like a dirt horse - just as I think Interactif (who ate into his margin sharply late) runs like a synthetic horse.

Dude Hes really good, I doubt he bombs this Saturday, he could get a bit tired late, but I think that would be because of the surface.... He has been in my Derby Top 5 all year.