Jms62 vs. Hockey2315 Stakes Contest

[hockey2315]

Wow that's sad.

[jms62]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

Wow that's sad.

Listen; don't be so hard on yourself... The Pro's offer 3 or 4 choices. We are trying to get prices home. I often pass up who I think will win for who I think CAN win at a decent price.. I am sure you are doing the same... When all is said and done I still am confident I will have a flat bet win profit...
Remember and I don;t recall who qouted this.
"There isn't a man alive who paid his mortgage at 6-5"

[hockey2315]

I agree with everything you're saying. Obviously the sample size so far is too small to make anything of either of our results. I wish I could say my real bets were doing better, but I'd kill for a winning 5-1 shot right now.

[jms62]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

I agree with everything you're saying. Obviously the sample size so far is too small to make anything of either of our results. I wish I could say my real bets were doing better, but I'd kill for a winning 5-1 shot right now.

Hang in there.... It'll turn your way it always does... Just don't blow out before it does...

[the_fat_man]

Originally Posted by jms62

Listen; don't be so hard on yourself... The Pro's offer 3 or 4 choices. We are trying to get prices home. I often pass up who I think will win for who I think CAN win at a decent price.. I am sure you are doing the same... When all is said and done I still am confident I will have a flat bet win profit...
[/b]

I haven't been following your picks, either here or in general but showing a flat bet profit betting win is not as easy as you might think.

Of course, if you could do it spot playing, you should also be able to do it over the long term (at least theory dictates that much), which would put you at the upper echelon of players.

[NTamm1215]

Originally Posted by the_fat_man

I haven't been following your picks, either here or in general but showing a flat bet profit betting win is not as easy as you might think.

Of course, if you could do it spot playing, you should also be able to do it over the long term (at least theory dictates that much), which would put you at the upper echelon of players.

Until you've tried it, earning a positive ROI for steady selections might seem easy. It's not.

NT

[TheSpyder]

Doing the Saratoga meet contest last year was a real eye opener. Only 3-4 out of 60 players turned a profit picking races over 36 days where they had thir choice of 36 out of 350+ races. I say from looking at that, there's little chance either of you show a profit.

This is a brutal game we play.

Spyder

[jms62]

Originally Posted by TheSpyder

Doing the Saratoga meet contest last year was a real eye opener. Only 3-4 out of 60 players turned a profit picking races over 36 days where they had thir choice of 36 out of 350+ races. I say from looking at that, there's little chance either of you show a profit.

This is a brutal game we play.

Spyder

Just curious. If you were handicapping it; what odds would you put on me returning a positive return.

[jms62]

7/18/2009 Robert G. Dick Memorial S. III 11 Furlongs (T) 3+ Delaware Park
7/18/2009 Delaware Oaks II 8.5 Furlongs 3 Delaware Park
7/18/2009 Jaipur S. III 6 Furlongs (T) 3+ Belmont Park
7/18/2009 Virginia Derby II 10 Furlongs (T) 3 Colonial Downs
7/18/2009 Virginia Oaks III 9 Furlongs (T) 3 Colonial Downs
7/18/2009 Arlington Oaks III 9 Furlongs 3 Arlington Park
7/18/2009 Swaps S. II 9 Furlongs 3 Hollywood Park
7/18/2009 A Gleam H. II 7 Furlongs 3+ Hollywood Park

Additional Stats

[robfla]

Originally Posted by jms62

Just curious. If you were handicapping it; what odds would you put on me returning a positive return.

99:1