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  #1  
Old 06-10-2009, 05:16 PM
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golfer golfer is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hockey2315
I actually don't find the structure that bizarre if the person was structuring his/her ticket around prices in the second and fourth legs.
It wasn't the structure, just the horses used/not used. Raw Silk the 2nd most likely winner behind Diamondrella? Livin Lovin the next best after Gabby? Cosmonaut and Wesly just in case Gio Ponti didn't win? Once again, it's just my opinion after handicapping the races, but it seems bizarre to me.
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  #2  
Old 06-10-2009, 05:21 PM
Antitrust32 Antitrust32 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by golfer
It wasn't the structure, just the horses used/not used. Raw Silk the 2nd most likely winner behind Diamondrella? Livin Lovin the next best after Gabby? Cosmonaut and Wesly just in case Gio Ponti didn't win? Once again, it's just my opinion after handicapping the races, but it seems bizarre to me.

it really seems like he/she used multiple tickets.. but I guess you never know!
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Can I start just making stuff up out of thin air, too?
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  #3  
Old 06-10-2009, 05:50 PM
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Riot Riot is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Antitrust32
it really seems like he/she used multiple tickets.. but I guess you never know!
Consider they may have constructed multiple tickets, but only played one, going for the big payoff, and bowing out of any chance at less. After watching how the early races were unfolding.
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  #4  
Old 06-10-2009, 06:31 PM
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The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
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Gabby's Golden Gal and Dimanondrella were impossible uses for me. I singled both JWD and FT in those two races.

And I didn't include Gio Ponti because of distance, wet turf, and layoff even though I believed he might have been the best horse going in.
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  #5  
Old 06-10-2009, 07:15 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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I suppose it may have been part of a much larger play. Otherwise, it was a very randomly lucky win.
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  #6  
Old 06-10-2009, 11:15 PM
SniperSB23 SniperSB23 is offline
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I really think if you look at it as an AAACAA ticket it isn't that illogical. Fab Strike was reasonable as a single. I wanted nothing to do with Diamondrella on the stretchout but with Penna as hot as he was I can understand the play. Raw Silk was my top choice there and I played against Forever Together in everything. The third leg pretty much comes down to that he thought Munnings ran a huge race last out and so did Hull. Certainly not my opinion on the race but still a possible conclusion. In the fourth leg there is no reasonable explanation except that it was a backup ticket and I think people are getting too caught up on that leg and not recognizing that it could have been a backup. The fifth leg was a wide open race that he got lucky on and picked reasonable horses. The sixth race was a calculated move to use the two most obvious horses aside from Mine that Bird. It looks like a clear cut AAACAA ticket to me that he nailed which was hardly some schmuck like myself lucking into a huge P6 on $96.
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  #7  
Old 06-10-2009, 11:56 PM
chucklestheclown chucklestheclown is offline
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Nice score. The question is, if you do it at home on YouBet does it count?
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  #8  
Old 06-11-2009, 12:38 AM
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Indian Charlie Indian Charlie is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SniperSB23
I really think if you look at it as an AAACAA ticket it isn't that illogical. Fab Strike was reasonable as a single. I wanted nothing to do with Diamondrella on the stretchout but with Penna as hot as he was I can understand the play. Raw Silk was my top choice there and I played against Forever Together in everything. The third leg pretty much comes down to that he thought Munnings ran a huge race last out and so did Hull. Certainly not my opinion on the race but still a possible conclusion. In the fourth leg there is no reasonable explanation except that it was a backup ticket and I think people are getting too caught up on that leg and not recognizing that it could have been a backup. The fifth leg was a wide open race that he got lucky on and picked reasonable horses. The sixth race was a calculated move to use the two most obvious horses aside from Mine that Bird. It looks like a clear cut AAACAA ticket to me that he nailed which was hardly some schmuck like myself lucking into a huge P6 on $96.
I thought Dixie was the easiest favorite in the sequence to toss. At least of the heavily bet ones anyways. Tossing Forever Together was nuts. The only way I see someone tossing her is the hope her wet turf form holds.
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  #9  
Old 06-10-2009, 05:24 PM
docicu3 docicu3 is offline
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Some of this is big score mentality. Throw out chalk to make payout a worthwhile endeavor. If he loses on a chalky payout (s)he doesn't mind as much by playing second and third choices in most races things are very different as this ticket was alone in it's enormous reward. Very interesting idea. This was no birthday number player.
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  #10  
Old 06-10-2009, 05:26 PM
hockey2315 hockey2315 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by golfer
It wasn't the structure, just the horses used/not used. Raw Silk the 2nd most likely winner behind Diamondrella? Livin Lovin the next best after Gabby? Cosmonaut and Wesly just in case Gio Ponti didn't win? Once again, it's just my opinion after handicapping the races, but it seems bizarre to me.
It seems to me like if this was the only ticket that he/she played, s/he was going for a big pay-off or prices in a few legs rather than merely using the most likely winners in each race.
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