Believable ROI and Win %

[the_fat_man]

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

My best bet of the day is now 10-for-19 (52.6%) with a $2.66 ROI after today. I've hit with my last six in a row. They've paid $11.00, $3.60, $3.20, $6.20, $3.40, and $4.20

If you were fishing, you'd have to throw 5 of those back. Set some new benchmarks for public handicappers: start by championing a 5:2 odds minimum for win bets.

[philcski]

Speaking of hard-to-believe percentage and ROI's, Calvin Borel's in the month of May was an almost unfathomable $3.47. Even if you remove the Derby from the equation and the $102 payoff, he still was $2.66.

[The Indomitable DrugS]

Borel actually had 6 consecutive profitable years riding two-turn dirt races at Churcill Downs from '95 to '00.

Over that span he was a combined 127-for-620 (20.5%) $2.64 ROI


However, he's just been out of this world in those two-turn dirt routes at Churchill since 2006.

2006: 23-for-67 (34%) $7.22 ROI

2007: 15-for-70 (21%) $3.73 ROI

2008: 17-for-69 (24%) $2.22 ROI

2009: 10-for-21 (48%) $9.80 ROI

Combined: 65-for-227 (29% wins) $4.86 ROI

Combined record of graded stakes over span: 11-for-20 (55% wins) $22.64 ROI