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  #1  
Old 05-19-2009, 08:36 AM
Danzig Danzig is offline
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not necessarily. there are some good horses on the sidelines that could be heard from throughout the year. i'd say he's the front runner right now.
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Old 05-19-2009, 08:43 AM
gales0678 gales0678 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Danzig
not necessarily. there are some good horses on the sidelines that could be heard from throughout the year. i'd say he's the front runner right now.

who is going to beat him - if he wins two legs of the TC and a 2nd in the Preakness - expalin to me how he could not get it if the above plays out , aren't those 3 races the most important for 3 yr old colts for the year - he would have 2 wins and a 2nd

even if quality road comes back and wins the travers and a few other races - how would it be right for MTB not to get the award?
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  #3  
Old 05-19-2009, 08:45 AM
Danzig Danzig is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by gales0678
who is going to beat him - if he wins two legs of the TC and a 2nd in the Preakness - expalin to me how he could not get it if the above plays out , aren't those 3 races the most important for 3 yr old colts for the year - he would have 2 wins and a 2nd

even if quality road comes back and wins the travers and a few other races - how would it be right for MTB not to get the award?
i'm not arguing right or wrong. but horses have won tc races, and then not got top 3 yo. that's why i'm saying it's not a lock. obviously he's the front runner now. besides, he has to win another tc race for the first part of your scenario to be factual.

as for quality road, or other horses who missed the spring classics, there are still plenty of races out there. there's taking on older horses in the fall, and of course the bcc.
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Old 05-19-2009, 08:48 AM
gales0678 gales0678 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Danzig
i'm not arguing right or wrong. but horses have won tc races, and then not got top 3 yo. that's why i'm saying it's not a lock. obviously he's the front runner now. besides, he has to win another tc race for the first part of your scenario to be factual.

i know that my case is hinged on him winning the belmont , a tall order but , in my opinion winning 2 of 3 and running 2nd to a super filly in the 3rd leg should make him an automatic lock

if he doesn't get if the above plays out , it' an injustice - in my opinion
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Old 05-19-2009, 08:50 AM
Danzig Danzig is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by gales0678
i know that my case is hinged on him winning the belmont , a tall order but , in my opinion winning 2 of 3 and running 2nd to a super filly in the 3rd leg should make him an automatic lock

if he doesn't get if the above plays out , it' an injustice - in my opinion
it's may. you might want to see how the year unfolds before making your eclipse selections-that's all i'm saying. you might be thinking differently by years' end.
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Old 05-19-2009, 09:01 AM
Antitrust32 Antitrust32 is offline
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If he wins the belmont... and had some nads and the owners rushed him off to the shed like most horses that win 2 TC races he would be a LOCK for 3 yo colt.

If he wins the belmont but god forbid runs in races the rest of the year and does average I dont think he wins the 3yo colt title.

Its weird logic but than again the eclipse awards are a weird event.
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Old 05-19-2009, 09:03 AM
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the_fat_man the_fat_man is offline
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This is a very interesting case with this horse. He WASN't 'fast enough' to even be considered in the discussion a few weeks ago. Then, as luck would have it, he gets cut off out of the gate and the jock decides to ride him off the pace. And, all of a sudden, he BECOMES 'fast enough'. I'm thinking, whether he's top 3 year old (excluding RA) or not depends on whether or not he remains 'fast enough'.

Get my drift?
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Old 05-19-2009, 09:47 AM
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CSC CSC is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by the_fat_man
This is a very interesting case with this horse. He WASN't 'fast enough' to even be considered in the discussion a few weeks ago. Then, as luck would have it, he gets cut off out of the gate and the jock decides to ride him off the pace. And, all of a sudden, he BECOMES 'fast enough'. I'm thinking, whether he's top 3 year old (excluding RA) or not depends on whether or not he remains 'fast enough'.

Get my drift?
His beyers on synth were mediocre last yr, obviously he has improved since he moved to dirt coupled with a preferred late running style. Or the Woodbine beyers were off last yr...

Last edited by CSC : 05-19-2009 at 10:01 AM.
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  #9  
Old 05-19-2009, 09:48 AM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by the_fat_man
This is a very interesting case with this horse. He WASN't 'fast enough' to even be considered in the discussion a few weeks ago. Then, as luck would have it, he gets cut off out of the gate and the jock decides to ride him off the pace. And, all of a sudden, he BECOMES 'fast enough'. I'm thinking, whether he's top 3 year old (excluding RA) or not depends on whether or not he remains 'fast enough'.

Get my drift?

So, in other words, you think based on his accomplishments prior to May 2nd, he should have been considered in " this discussion " back in April? That's interesting and I would love you to explain this ( or even direct me to your posts about this from a few weeks, or more, ago ). And, let me offer a belated congratulations on the score you made in the KY Derby and further compliment you on your modesty, until now, about this life altering event.
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  #10  
Old 05-19-2009, 10:04 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by the_fat_man
This is a very interesting case with this horse. He WASN't 'fast enough' to even be considered in the discussion a few weeks ago. Then, as luck would have it, he gets cut off out of the gate and the jock decides to ride him off the pace. And, all of a sudden, he BECOMES 'fast enough'. I'm thinking, whether he's top 3 year old (excluding RA) or not depends on whether or not he remains 'fast enough'.
TFM,

The decision was made well before the race that Mine That Bird was going to be taken back and come with one run. As soon as they saw that they could get into the Derby with their earnings, Woolley sought out Jerry Hissam, Borel's agent, and told him what they were looking to do and that they wanted Borel specifically. While the break exacerbated the 'take back/one run' scenario, it wasn't happenstance that the gelding was coming from well off the pace in the Derby.
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  #11  
Old 05-19-2009, 09:38 AM
SniperSB23 SniperSB23 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
The only eclipse award that has been decided already is Rachel Alexandra as top 3 year old filly.

In 2007, we had a different winner of each triple crown race. If Rachel Alexandra doesn't go in the Belmont, it's possible we have the same thing this year. It wasn't until Curlin won the Classic that year, that he got the award that year.

Sure if Mine That Bird wins the Belmont he becomes the big favorite. But, what if he doesn't win another race the rest of the year? What if a another 3 year old wins the Jim Dandy, Travers, Jockey Club Gold Cup and Classic? Hard to deny the award to him won't it be?
Especially if that were Quality Road and the horse beat Mind that Bird head to head in at least one of those races.
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  #12  
Old 05-19-2009, 09:46 AM
gales0678 gales0678 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
The only eclipse award that has been decided already is Rachel Alexandra as top 3 year old filly.

In 2007, we had a different winner of each triple crown race. If Rachel Alexandra doesn't go in the Belmont, it's possible we have the same thing this year. It wasn't until Curlin won the Classic that year, that he got the award that year.

Sure if Mine That Bird wins the Belmont he becomes the big favorite. But, what if he doesn't win another race the rest of the year? What if a another 3 year old wins the Jim Dandy, Travers, Jockey Club Gold Cup and Classic? Hard to deny the award to him won't it be?

Jay help me please if a horse wins the KY derby by 7 , runs 2nd in the preakness beats all the colts and losses to a super filly , then comes back and wins the belmont stakes - how in the world can he not get the top 3 yr old of the year for colts - aren't those 3 races the most important of the year aren't they the races that everyone shoots for ?

Let me run this by you if QR comes back and wins the JD and travers then wins the Gold cup - and then doesn't race in the classic (i don't think JJ will send him to the west coast on the ploy) why wouldn't MTB get it over him even if MTB does nothing after winning the Belmont - please explain that to me - i don't get it
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