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Originally Posted by johnny pinwheel
isn't that what folks said about MTB at the derby (no shot) not that i think lucas will win but he loves to run his mouth and he'll jump on the hype just to get more money on the filly. 2 to 1, by post she'll be closer to 6-5 i'm thinking and thats what the other barns want because most likely she will lose. the water gets way deeper for her saturday and we shall see, its easy to look great against inferior horses. i'll be a believer if she jogs saturday but my money will bet against that. if you bet her you will have the weight of every chump out there that reads the hype and jumps on board, including folks that don't really bet horses. wayne lucas is no fool he even knows that and so do the other barns that will be betting their horses. the more people pile on the happier the other contenders will be, trust me.
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I think you're reading too much into it... there's going to be millions in the pool, just because Lukas says he's betting a horse doesn't mean it's suddenly going to drop her odds from 2-1 to 6/5... she might be 6/5 but it's not going to be Lukas' influence.
The simple fact is she's much the best if she can repeat her last few performances. I'll structure my tickets with that in mind. 50-60% of my pick 4 tickets will end with her, and the remaining 40-50% will have some combination of Big Drama, Musket Man, Fresian Fire, Pioneerofthe Nile, Papa Clem, and General Quarters, depending on what side of the bed I wake up on.
05-14-2009, 11:12 AM
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