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  #1  
Old 05-12-2009, 05:15 PM
Gander Gander is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 5,336
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Quote:
Originally Posted by philcski
Phil's Expected Odds:
Rachel Alexandra 2-1
Mine That Bird 4-1
Pioneerof The Nile 7-1
Big Drama 9-1
Papa Clem 10-1
Musket Man 10-1
Fresian Fire 10-1
General Quarters 20-1
Take the Points 30-1
Terrain 30-1
Flying Private 50-1
Luv Gov 50-1
Tone it Down 50-1
Wow, I'd like 9/1 on Big Drama and hope you are right and I am wrong about what his price will be.

Remember Bernardini was 13-1 in this race. I'd expect Big Drama to be 8-1 or 10-1.

Bernardini was 13/1 because of Barbaro being in the race, but you are right, Bernardini and Big Drama had pretty similar resumes heading into the Preakness. Key difference is Barbaro won the Derby that year and Mine that Bird won it this year.
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  #2  
Old 05-12-2009, 05:16 PM
Antitrust32 Antitrust32 is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Ft Lauderdale
Posts: 9,413
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Gander
Wow, I'd like 9/1 on Big Drama and hope you are right and I am wrong about what his price will be.

Remember Bernardini was 13-1 in this race. I'd expect Big Drama to be 8-1 or 10-1.

Bernardini was 13/1 because of Barbaro being in the race, but you are right, Bernardini and Big Drama had pretty similar resumes heading into the Preakness. Key difference is Barbaro won the Derby that year and Mine that Bird won it this year.
Yes but isnt Rachel Alexandra this years Barbaro?
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Riot View Post
Can I start just making stuff up out of thin air, too?
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  #3  
Old 05-12-2009, 05:20 PM
Travis Stone's Avatar
Travis Stone Travis Stone is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Louisiana
Posts: 2,229
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Antitrust32
Yes but isnt Rachel Alexandra this years Barbaro?
I don't think she's quite that powerful in terms of odds impact, but she'll definitely stirr it up.
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  #4  
Old 05-12-2009, 05:24 PM
Gander Gander is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Travis Stone
I don't think she's quite that powerful in terms of odds impact, but she'll definitely stirr it up.
Neither do I. She still has lots to prove and maybe she will, but my money says she wont on Saturday.
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