134th Preakness Field Close to Set

[CSC]

This would have sounded crazy 5 days ago, but if Mine That Bird is around 10-1 in the Preakness, I think I'll play a POTN/MTB exacta box, and a sizable win/place bet on MTB. The more I look at the derby, the more I think it may not have been a fluke.

[slotdirt]

I think the horse is a cinch for third in the Preakness.

[Sightseek]

This year's Kentucky Derby was like going through the 7 stages of grief:

1. shock & denial - self explanitory
2. pain & guilt - subjecting yourself to some of the posts here, that is pain!
3. anger & bargaining - blame it on Beyer!
4. depression, relection, lonliness - we all now know more about some people than we should
5. the upward turn - no one has started a new Derby thread in hours!
6. reconstruction & working through - onto the Preakness!
7. acceptance & hope - now we have people saying it wasn't a fluke and Mine That Bird is going to be a good horse dammit!

[Danzig]

Originally Posted by Sightseek

This year's Kentucky Derby was like going through the 7 stages of grief:

1. shock & denial - self explanitory
2. pain & guilt - subjecting yourself to some of the posts here, that is pain!
3. anger & bargaining - blame it on Beyer!
4. depression, relection, lonliness - we all now know more about some people than we should
5. the upward turn - no one has started a new Derby thread in hours!
6. reconstruction & working through - onto the Preakness!
7. acceptance & hope - now we have people saying it wasn't a fluke and Mine That Bird is going to be a good horse dammit!

[CSC]

POTN and MTB ran the best races in the derby in my opinion, there will have to be a new shooter come in to upset these 2. PC and MM were okay I guess, they are what they are....

Originally Posted by Sightseek

This year's Kentucky Derby was like going through the 7 stages of grief:

1. shock & denial - self explanitory
2. pain & guilt - subjecting yourself to some of the posts here, that is pain!
3. anger & bargaining - blame it on Beyer!
4. depression, relection, lonliness - we all now know more about some people than we should
5. the upward turn - no one has started a new Derby thread in hours!
6. reconstruction & working through - onto the Preakness!
7. acceptance & hope - now we have people saying it wasn't a fluke and Mine That Bird is going to be a good horse dammit!

Well yeah he's a decent horse.

What I'm having a problem with is the rest of the runners in the derby. They were horrendous...track condition or not.

[philcski]

Originally Posted by Sightseek

This year's Kentucky Derby was like going through the 7 stages of grief:

1. shock & denial - self explanitory
2. pain & guilt - subjecting yourself to some of the posts here, that is pain!
3. anger & bargaining - blame it on Beyer!
4. depression, relection, lonliness - we all now know more about some people than we should
5. the upward turn - no one has started a new Derby thread in hours!
6. reconstruction & working through - onto the Preakness!
7. acceptance & hope - now we have people saying it wasn't a fluke and Mine That Bird is going to be a good horse dammit!

I have reached stage 6.

Originally Posted by TheSpyder

At 50/1 does anyone know just how much was $ was on the horse to win?

Just under a million.

[CSC]

Originally Posted by philcski

I have reached stage 6.



Just under a million.

Gee your slow...I reached all 7 stages sometime between Saturday night to Sunday morning.

[Danzig]

Originally Posted by CSC

This would have sounded crazy 5 days ago, but if Mine That Bird is around 10-1 in the Preakness, I think I'll play a POTN/MTB exacta box, and a sizable win/place bet on MTB. The more I look at the derby, the more I think it may not have been a fluke.

fluke - a stroke of luck
good fortune, good luck
fortune, luck - an unknown and unpredictable phenomenon that leads to a favorable outcome;

[CSC]

Originally Posted by Danzig

fluke - a stroke of luck
good fortune, good luck
fortune, luck - an unknown and unpredictable phenomenon that leads to a favorable outcome;

I'm counting on that opinion...otherwise there is no rhyme or reason taking MTB at anything less than 8-1.

[Danzig]

Originally Posted by CSC

I'm counting on that opinion...otherwise there is no rhyme or reason taking MTB at anything less than 8-1.

it's not an opinion, it's a definition of the word fluke-which is what describes saturday to a tee. no matter how much people want to go back and try to find rhyme or reason for what he did....there is no explanation other than to say it's unexplainable.

no one had that horse. not one handicapper in the media gave this horse anything other than 'no chance'.
now, if you want to think his performance is the start of a great thing, i can't argue with that. maybe he's an emerging three year old. or maybe he's not. i'm thinking at this point he's not. we shall see.

[CSC]

Originally Posted by Danzig

it's not an opinion, it's a definition of the word fluke-which is what describes saturday to a tee. no matter how much people want to go back and try to find rhyme or reason for what he did....there is no explanation other than to say it's unexplainable.

no one had that horse. not one handicapper in the media gave this horse anything other than 'no chance'.
now, if you want to think his performance is the start of a great thing, i can't argue with that. maybe he's an emerging three year old. or maybe he's not. i'm thinking at this point he's not. we shall see.

Hindsight is 20/20? Yeah I know. I know absolutely no one paid attention to him before the race, and why should they? His last 3 races he was a victim of peculiar rides nicely stated...Regardless, I am not saying this may be the start of something great...I am of the view that the derby which featured a final sub 24 last split is more real than fluke or atleast I am not going to summarily dismiss him this time around.