Lieutenant Ron and Never Retreat

CSC · #1 09-09-2008, 09:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

Horses that run by appointment only and are very short prices can prove expensive to one's bankroll ( see Kip Deville this weekend ).

Lieutenant Ron is extremely talented and, seemingly, just as fragile. I wish him well, and hope he can stay sound, but from a betting perspective I would be very careful.

Or Divine Park in the Whitney, however there are a select few that seem to thrive on it.

geof · #2 09-09-2008, 09:50 AM

I dissagree, now would be the time to bet him. At long odds. If a trainer like KM says he is the best 3yr old in the Country that's all I need to know to put a few bucks on him. The trouble is I can't find the bet anywhere.

blackthroatedwind · #3 09-09-2008, 09:55 AM

Let's say they are pointing to the BC mile. What exactly do you think his realistic chances are of making the race and being good enough to win? Honestly, the race is six weeks from this weekend, which means if he were to run he would probably come in with three career races in a year. Plus, if the race is oversubscribed he won't even get in.

I guess if you can get 150:1 it would be a fair bet. Good luck with that.

Here's a more likely scenerio......if he runs well this weekend they point to the Sports Page, at 7F on BC day in NY ( I believe ), and then if he does well there they will go to the Cigar Mile.

geof · #4 09-09-2008, 10:09 AM

The plans are the Jerome Handicap on the 5th. That would give them 3 weeks to the Breeders Cup. It's possible, and I will take 150-1 if you'll give it to me.

blackthroatedwind · #5 09-09-2008, 10:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by geof

The plans are the Jerome Handicap on the 5th. That would give them 3 weeks to the Breeders Cup. It's possible, and I will take 150-1 if you'll give it to me.

So, a horse that debuted in April, returned six months later, and is now returning in another five months, is suddenly going to run three times in six weeks?

I'm beginning to want to lay 150:1.

CSC · #6 09-09-2008, 10:18 AM

Obcourse I mean't the Woodward and not the Whitney for Divine Park.

geof · #7 09-09-2008, 10:31 AM

You are probably right but who thought the Giants would win the Super Bowl after they lost to Green Bay and were 0-2 last year. Nice chatting with you I have to go to work and make some money so I can bet L Ron....Later.

cakes44 · #8 09-09-2008, 10:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

So, a horse that debuted in April, returned six months later, and is now returning in another five months, is suddenly going to run three times in six weeks?

I'm beginning to want to lay 150:1.

Then you can factor in the odds of winning the dirt mile from the 9-hole on out at Santa Anita and the good chance of a horse drawing those posts.

Kasept · #9 09-09-2008, 11:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

Here's a more likely scenerio... if he runs well this weekend they point to the Sports Page, at 7F on BC day in NY ( I believe ), and then if he does well there they will go to the Cigar Mile.

Which would be a reasonable and good plan, except.. remember who owns this horse. If there's a remote chance of him being OK to go to the BC for anything, West Point will want to go and press KMc to send him...