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Old 08-31-2008, 05:52 PM
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CSC CSC is offline
Arlington Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jwkniska
look at that ticket this way..... fav, fav, fav won't pay anything (maybe $10-15). based on an avg that the favorite wins say 33% of the races... to make the math easier, you have a 1/3 X 1/3 X 1/3 chance of all 3 fav's winning, which is 1/27 or 3.7%. Anyone willing to take only a 3.7% chance to win on a $10 return.... has absolutely NO CLUE!

I will however play show bets if a race is wide open and there is no low price favorite or a false favorite that I think will be off the board. Had the french horse in the Beverly D to show at 50-1 in a race that I correctly handicapped that the favorite was off the board. Glad I played it to show, as she came in 3rd.
I agree with everything you said, nothing I can add except to avoid confusion I would never just play a show bet unless the show pool demanded it.
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