jwkniska |
08-31-2008 02:14 PM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by CSC
When I look at pick 3's and 4's, the same applies why would anyone want to pick for instance yesterday a Speed Limit, Friendly Island, and Curlin ticket?
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look at that ticket this way..... fav, fav, fav won't pay anything (maybe $10-15). based on an avg that the favorite wins say 33% of the races... to make the math easier, you have a 1/3 X 1/3 X 1/3 chance of all 3 fav's winning, which is 1/27 or 3.7%. Anyone willing to take only a 3.7% chance to win on a $10 return.... has absolutely NO CLUE!
I will however play show bets if a race is wide open and there is no low price favorite or a false favorite that I think will be off the board. Had the french horse in the Beverly D to show at 50-1 in a race that I correctly handicapped that the favorite was off the board. Glad I played it to show, as she came in 3rd.
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