CD R9: I just don't get this move

[the_fat_man]

This is one of my favorite horses so I'd love to see her be equally as good routing as she is sprinting. But, having seen her run, I don't believe she can carry it beyond 6 or 7F.

We'll see today.

[TheSpyder]

How would you like that crow cooked sir?

Originally Posted by the_fat_man

This is one of my favorite horses so I'd love to see her be equally as good routing as she is sprinting. But, having seen her run, I don't believe she can carry it beyond 6 or 7F.

We'll see today.

[the_fat_man]

Doesn't bother me none. I've made some serious money with this filly and didn't really have an(other) opinion and thus passed the race.

Of course, it'd be nice to look into whether that speed bias on the turf is still going strong down there.

[docicu3]

Originally Posted by the_fat_man

Doesn't bother me none. I've made some serious money with this filly and didn't really have an(other) opinion and thus passed the race.

Of course, it'd be nice to look into whether that speed bias on the turf is still going strong down there.

I am still trying to understand how you look at a ROG offspring as capable of turf "sprint" only??

[the_fat_man]

Originally Posted by docicu3

I am still trying to understand how you look at a ROG offspring as capable of turf "sprint" only??

It's not all about breeding. In fact, it's NEVER about breeding for me and ALL about trips.

Typically, unless we're dealing with bush type tracks (or speed favoring tracks) turf horses don't stretch out as easily as they cut back. It's a matter of footwork, as trying 2 turns for the 1st time presents problems for them.

Who's the sire of English Colony? That would be ROG. How'd he do 1st time trying a mile?

TRIPS are superordinate to BREEDING and TRAINER angles. Fact of the matter.

[hockey2315]

I hate to add to Fat Man's argument, especially when my point's about something so insignificant and worthless as pedigree, but Genuine Devotion had by far the lowest tomlinson rating in the field for a mile on turf (but the highest general turf number by far).

[Bobby Fischer]

So TFM,
If you were spotting this horse next out, would you cut back to a 1 turn turf sprint or stick with the mile?

[NTamm1215]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

I hate to add to Fat Man's argument, especially when my point's about something so insignificant and worthless as pedigree, but Genuine Devotion had by far the lowest tomlinson rating in the field for a mile on turf (but the highest general turf number by far).

Yeah, the Tomlinsons on Rock's offspring are gigantic. The turf sprint that went West of Gibraltar-Diamondrella in late May, I think around the 23rd or so, was ROG-ROG and they each were around 450 in terms of Tomlinson #.

NT

[docicu3]

Originally Posted by the_fat_man

It's not all about breeding. In fact, it's NEVER about breeding for me and ALL about trips.

Typically, unless we're dealing with bush type tracks (or speed favoring tracks) turf horses don't stretch out as easily as they cut back. It's a matter of footwork, as trying 2 turns for the 1st time presents problems for them.

Who's the sire of English Colony?

TRIPS are superordinate to BREEDING and TRAINER angles. Fact of the matter.

No one variable is infallible which is why you have to be aware of more than the history of a horses "trips". Trip handicapping gets you into trouble as much as any other "superordinate" variable. Which is why you blame the jock when a horse doesn't win that you are sure is "much the best". The random element of trips has the same pit falls as pedigree only or TA only handicapping. Success is about a formula, made from all, that works not a magic ingredient.

[the_fat_man]

Originally Posted by docicu3

No one variable is infallible which is why you have to be aware of more than the history of a horses "trips". Trip handicapping gets you into trouble as much as any other "superordinate" variable. Which is why you blame the jock when a horse doesn't win that you are sure is "much the best". The random element of trips has the same pit falls as pedigree only or TA only handicapping. Success is about a formula, made from all, that works not a magic ingredient.

In point of fact, I blame the jock when he blows the race BECAUSE I have a high level understanding of intuitive pace and race setups. A GENERALIST might not be able to fully understand this.

There are random or, better, uncontrollable, components in trips, I agree. However, someone skilled at it can explain in terms of trips why a horse didn't run well. In these cases, I don't blame the jockey.

Since the game is about THE RACE, I figure that going directly to the source is the best way to approach it. Others, the majority, seem to think that the best method is through abstractions; numeric or otherwise.

[dalakhani]

Originally Posted by the_fat_man

It's not all about breeding. In fact, it's NEVER about breeding for me and ALL about trips.

Typically, unless we're dealing with bush type tracks (or speed favoring tracks) turf horses don't stretch out as easily as they cut back. It's a matter of footwork, as trying 2 turns for the 1st time presents problems for them.

Who's the sire of English Colony? That would be ROG. How'd he do 1st time trying a mile?
TRIPS are superordinate to BREEDING and TRAINER angles. Fact of the matter.

I could be mistaken but i think he won his first time going a mile.

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by dalakhani

I could be mistaken but i think he won his first time going a mile.

English Colony?

He ran at a mile once....in the Kelso. He did not win.

[the_fat_man]

Originally Posted by dalakhani

I could be mistaken but i think he won his first time going a mile.

NEGATIVE.

EC is a horse that was rated nicely going 6F. He won on the lead going 7F --once. What made him unique was that he was fast enough to stay close to the fastest sprinter YET able to hold off the late runners. His footwork sprinting is IMPECCABLE. The only time he tried a mile a BEL, which is a quasi turn, he's on the wrong lead on the backstretch and RANK.