The Gods have finally spoken...

[Rupert Pupkin]

Originally Posted by RolloTomasi

What's also ironic about the Touch Gold comparison is that despite the Belmont win, later in the '97 season,Touch Gold tailed off badly (just as Big Brown did today), getting beat the length of the stretch at odds-on in the Pegasus (in a 4-horse field) and then virtually easing in the BC Classic behind Skip Away. I don't recall exactly, but I believe the excuse was the development of a quarter crack, possibly a result of the trauma sustained in the Preakness followed by continued training/racing during the summer.

It's really pretty amazing the way they downplayed that quarter crack. My main trainer told me all week that he didn't think BB would hit the board. He told me that if you had a $50,000 claimer with a quarter crack like that, you would have two choices. Your first choice would be to give the horse 6 months off. If you didn't want to give the horse the time off, then the other option would be to drop the horse in for $25,000.

I wish I would have listened to him and bet against BB. I figured that since the horse worked alright the other day and since the quarter crack didn't bleed that it probably would not bother the horse. I should have listened to my trainer. He knows 1000x more than I do about injuries.

[phystech]

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin

I wish I would have listened to him and bet against BB. I figured that since the horse worked alright the other day and since the quarter crack didn't bleed that it probably would not bother the horse. I should have listened to my trainer. He knows 1000x more than I do about injuries.

....

Rule No 1: ALWAYS listen to your trainer!!!

As painful as it might be sometimes to admit he/she knows what they are talking about, always refer to rule #1.... 8-)

[Cannon Shell]

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin

It's really pretty amazing the way they downplayed that quarter crack. My main trainer told me all week that he didn't think BB would hit the board. He told me that if you had a $50,000 claimer with a quarter crack like that, you would have two choices. Your first choice would be to give the horse 6 months off. If you didn't want to give the horse the time off, then the other option would be to drop the horse in for $25,000.

I wish I would have listened to him and bet against BB. I figured that since the horse worked alright the other day and since the quarter crack didn't bleed that it probably would not bother the horse. I should have listened to my trainer. He knows 1000x more than I do about injuries.

Be truthful...You wouldn't have come up with the winner anyway....

[Scav]

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell

Be truthful...You wouldn't have come up with the winner anyway....

The only way the winner was picked was by the 'quick pick' button or the all button....

[Rupert Pupkin]

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell

Be truthful...You wouldn't have come up with the winner anyway....

That is true. I was just thinking more in terms of how much money you could make if you knew for sure that the 1-5 favorite would not hit the board.

[Cannon Shell]

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin

That is true. I was just thinking more in terms of how much money you could make if you knew for sure that the 1-5 favorite would not hit the board.

throw out BB and the maiden and box the rest?

[Rupert Pupkin]

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell

throw out BB and the maiden and box the rest?

Shoot. I don't even know what the best way to play it would have been if I was confident that BB would run out. I rarely play exotics. I normally just bet to win and place. I guess if you were really confident that the horse would not hit the board, it would be smart to play some serious trifectas where you used a ton of horses. But even in that case, I still may not have used the winner.