Belmont - ImAWildAndCrazyGuy

[GPK]

Originally Posted by ateamstupid

If you like the way I'mawildandcrazyguy closed and galloped out, then you should watch the race again and look at Tiago. About 10 strides past the wire, Tiago is past Street Sense.

Not saying that I agree or disagree with your strategy, just that IWCG wasn't the only one who appeared to be flying late.

appeared is the right word Joe. You and I would have appeared to look fast passing some of those tired horses in mid-pack.

[letswastemoney]

The extra length of the Belmont stakes can dull a closer's late kick since he has to sustain it for a longer period of time.

[Suffolk Shippers]

Let's keep in mind, he was passing horses that had long since spit the bit and called it a day. You can't really evaluate based on the run off after the post either...Borel was jumping for joy and you figure Pino had slowed up Hard Spun after an ultra game effort. I'd throw him on the bottom of some tickets for the Belmont, but not the top.

[hi_im_god]

there's been some reasonable responses here but no one has really nailed it so i guess it's up to me.

the reason you don't want to bet a late closer in the derby to win the belmont is because...

(drum roll)

"jockeys will ask the horse to run later in a 12f race than they do in a 10f race."

your late running closer will most likely still be picking up the pieces and passing tired horses for 4th in the belmont because he isn't going to be asked to run until 2f later than he was in the derby.

there it is. and you're welcome.