Scat Daddy

blackthroatedwind · #1 04-27-2007, 01:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SniperSB23

Problem is that seems to be the case with most of the field. Other than Street Sense, Any Given Saturday, and Curlin I don't see anyone else that much faster than Scat Daddy. I won't be playing him in the win spot on Derby Day but will definitely be including him underneath.

I don't particularly disagree but it feels like his odds are lower than his actual chances of winning. He is a model of consistency, and not only does that make him slower than at least a few serious contenders, it also makes him less likely to dramatically improve. To me he is somewhat reminiscent of Lawyer Ron, or High Fly, in that he's clearly talented but also clearly slower than more than a few, and will take real money.

Not that I am endorsing him, but I feel like Tiago is in some ways a more likely winner, in that he COULD improve. I also feel like he is likely to lose to Scat Daddy but I am not sure he isn't a likelier winner of the race.

ARyan · #2 04-27-2007, 01:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

I don't particularly disagree but it feels like his odds are lower than his actual chances of winning. He is a model of consistency, and not only does that make him slower than at least a few serious contenders, it also makes him less likely to dramatically improve. To me he is somewhat reminiscent of Lawyer Ron, or High Fly, in that he's clearly talented but also clearly slower than more than a few, and will take real money.

Not that I am endorsing him, but I feel like Tiago is in some ways a more likely winner, in that he COULD improve. I also feel like he is likely to lose to Scat Daddy but I am not sure he isn't a likelier winner of the race.

Tiago will be on every Triple and Super I play. I feel he will improve, and even if he does not get the dream trip he did in his last, he will still be able to get up for a piece.

SniperSB23 · #3 04-27-2007, 01:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

I don't particularly disagree but it feels like his odds are lower than his actual chances of winning. He is a model of consistency, and not only does that make him slower than at least a few serious contenders, it also makes him less likely to dramatically improve. To me he is somewhat reminiscent of Lawyer Ron, or High Fly, in that he's clearly talented but also clearly slower than more than a few, and will take real money.

Not that I am endorsing him, but I feel like Tiago is in some ways a more likely winner, in that he COULD improve. I also feel like he is likely to lose to Scat Daddy but I am not sure he isn't a likelier winner of the race.

Tiago is my fifth choice (behind Nobiz). Sam P is another sleeper I think could hit the board if they take the blinkers off and get him off the pace.

blackthroatedwind · #4 04-27-2007, 01:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SniperSB23

Tiago is my fifth choice (behind Nobiz). Sam P is another sleeper I think could hit the board if they take the blinkers off and get him off the pace.

I don't want to marry myself to anyone before really looking at the pps but right now Sam P interests me as well. Some of it may be that I always thought he had potential when he broke his maiden at Saratoga but he also feels like the only horse coming into this Derby who ran much better in his final prep than it looks on paper.

SniperSB23 · #5 04-27-2007, 01:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

I don't want to marry myself to anyone before really looking at the pps but right now Sam P interests me as well. Some of it may be that I always thought he had potential when he broke his maiden at Saratoga but he also feels like the only horse coming into this Derby who ran much better in his final prep than it looks on paper.

Yeah, he comes from off the pace there and he is probably the Santa Anita Derby winner rather than Tiago. I'm normally not into watching pre-Derby works but he is one horse I'll be watching closely. If it looks like they are working him to rate then I'll be very interested. If they are working him alone in bullet times then I want nothing to do with him in the Derby.

miraja2 · #6 04-27-2007, 01:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

Lawyer Ron, or High Fly.

I think these are very apt comparisons.

blackthroatedwind · #7 04-27-2007, 01:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by miraja2

I think these are very apt comparisons.

Yeah, I guess the credible counter argument is that those two met arguably more intimidating fields but they do seem like very comparable horses.

Java Gold · #8 04-27-2007, 03:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

I don't particularly disagree but it feels like his odds are lower than his actual chances of winning. He is a model of consistency, and not only does that make him slower than at least a few serious contenders, it also makes him less likely to dramatically improve. To me he is somewhat reminiscent of Lawyer Ron, or High Fly, in that he's clearly talented but also clearly slower than more than a few, and will take real money.

Not that I am endorsing him, but I feel like Tiago is in some ways a more likely winner, in that he COULD improve. I also feel like he is likely to lose to Scat Daddy but I am not sure he isn't a likelier winner of the race.

Tiago? puhllezz he could not hold Scat Dady's jock. Your cash 5/5 is greatly appreciated.

Java OUT

blackthroatedwind · #9 04-27-2007, 03:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Java Gold

Tiago? puhllezz he could not hold Scat Dady's jock. Your cash 5/5 is greatly appreciated.

Java OUT

The real question is who's jock are you currently holding?

Cajungator26 · #10 04-27-2007, 03:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

The real question is who's jock are you currently holding?

Oh wow... LOL

ArlJim78 · #11 04-27-2007, 04:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Java Gold

Tiago? puhllezz he could not hold Scat Dady's jock. Your cash 5/5 is greatly appreciated.

Java OUT

Aren't you the guy who is real high on Cobalt Blue?

blackthroatedwind · #12 04-27-2007, 04:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ArlJim78

Aren't you the guy who is real high on Cobalt Blue?

You mean this post....under the heading " No need to name 5 "

Quote:

Originally Posted by Java Gold

Cobalt Blue...who cares about the rest... huge futures at huge odds...

Java Gold

ArlJim78 · #13 04-27-2007, 04:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

You mean this post....under the heading " No need to name 5 "

yeah, that's what I thought.

I keep seeing Mr Gold talking about taking peoples money, and offering to be the ticket window for others, however with his money on Cobalt Blue I'm fairly sure that he will be donating money, and not receiving any on derby day.

blackthroatedwind · #14 04-27-2007, 04:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ArlJim78

yeah, that's what I thought.

I keep seeing Mr Gold talking about taking peoples money, and offering to be the ticket window for others, however with his money on Cobalt Blue I'm fairly sure that he will be donating money, and not receiving any on derby day.

Aside from of course misconstruing my comments concerning Tiago, probably because of substandard reading skills, he is also looking forward to booking DrugS's action.

Come to think of it, it makes a LOT of sense that he likes Cobalt Blue.

Java Gold · #15 04-27-2007, 05:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ArlJim78

yeah, that's what I thought.

I keep seeing Mr Gold talking about taking peoples money, and offering to be the ticket window for others, however with his money on Cobalt Blue I'm fairly sure that he will be donating money, and not receiving any on derby day.

Sure thing jimmyboy.... played a few future wagers. Means nothing when it come down to betting 5/5. Be sure to post your selections her prior to the derby as I will for braggin rights... oh yeh your sidekick can as well..

Java OUT

AeWingnut · #16 04-27-2007, 05:56 PM

Scat Daddy has one thing that makes me wonder about him. The RAN curse.
Who is going to get faster the farter they go? and if everyone tries to rate who will try and steal it? I mean what if we get a War Emblem track. Anyone that breaks worst than 4th doesn't hit the board.

btw Sam P has never delivered the goods.

it's to bad Hard Spun has been mismanaged.

I'm still looking for a long shot to key I have one in mind but won't committ until after the draw.

ArlJim78 · #17 04-27-2007, 06:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Java Gold

Sure thing jimmyboy.... played a few future wagers. Means nothing when it come down to betting 5/5. Be sure to post your selections her prior to the derby as I will for braggin rights... oh yeh your sidekick can as well..

Java OUT

Don't worry yourself, I am not one to shy away from posting picks.

Oh I eagerly await the details of your 5/5 wagering.

Nice of you to step up on the comic relief side of things, seeing that PG man has departed the scene.
thanks,