4/27: Official Hollywood Carryover Thread

[Scav]

If you do think their is speed in that race then Frankel is a single. He always wins with these it is just a matter when.

I am dumping into this. It looks like a ticket that will pay if you go wide enough. not a one ticketer but it could pay 40 or 50k.

regarding Muhall, is that this horse's first time starting? If so, she is an autotoss, muhall sucks with firsters, 2nd time start is when you catch them IMO

[ArlJim78]

two observations from last nights handicapping.

I think the fourth race is a very tricky read with several possiblities. I would go wide on that race.

In the sixth race I like the 3 horse enough to consider it a single. He has shown a good turn of foot and been knocking on the door at one mile beating eleven horses in both starts this year. Third start of form cycle with three works since the last race, gets in light cause of facing elders this time, I think the added distance helps him to get the job done. i think its all systems going for win tonight. I wouldn't touch the Frankel horse, don't like it at all.

[Scav]

the horse I like alot tonight is Tug O War in the 8th. First time O'Neil and working tremendously well for the return, pumps him all the way up to an allowance race

Also think in the 7th you could probably single the 3 with some confidence, there is nothing in that race, 3 might be the only horse that can actually finish the race

[Rudeboyelvis]

Two very nice singling opportunites offers us the ability to go deep in two legs (the first and the last, which are wide open with a ton of firsters - we'll need as many as we can get in there)

R4 - 5 Frank the Barber
10 Oscar the Mayor
2 Battle Too
3 Kinslar

R5 - 3 Chanel My Belle
4 It's Another Srory
10 Do it Topper Style

R6 - 2 Mi Arcobaleno

R7 - 3 What Me Win
5 Awesome Beginning
4 Blue Cay
7 Annie Oakleaf

R8 - 2 Real Indian

R9 - 3 Chestnut Chips
7 Fleur de Lune
8 Stompin Gia
9 Leith Code
10 Can Do Can Do

4x3x1x4x1x5 = 240 x $2 = 480.00

[Scav]

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis

Two very nice singling opportunites offers us the ability to go deep in two legs (the first and the last, which are wide open with a ton of firsters - we'll need as many as we can get in there)

R4 - 5 Frank the Barber
10 Oscar the Mayor
2 Battle Too
3 Kinslar

R5 - 3 Chanel My Belle
4 It's Another Srory
10 Do it Topper Style

R6 - 2 Mi Arcobaleno

R7 - 3 What Me Win
5 Awesome Beginning
4 Blue Cay
7 Annie Oakleaf

R8 - 2 Real Indian

R9 - 3 Chestnut Chips
7 Fleur de Lune
8 Stompin Gia
9 Leith Code
10 Can Do Can Do

4x3x1x4x1x5 = 240 x $2 = 480.00

We are no where near alike in this sequence....

[Scav]

4: 6,8
5: 4
6: 3,7
7: 3
8: 3,8
9: 1,3,10

$48

I am still thinking about the 7th but I am thinking that is what will hold, would rather piss my money away at Hawthorne tomorrow.

[Rootdog1]

4. Tough Maiden race – I will probably wait to see who is getting bet on the board and might change these around if some of the firsters are live.
#1 Mystery Hunter 5-1 The March 29 drill BREEZING out of the gate seals the deal for me
#10 Oscar The Mayor 4-1 Gosh I hate using Mulhall at all, much less a first timer. Owner trainer combo is respectable though, and this one is training well.
#6 Silver Stetson Man 9-2 Not sold here….but use out of fear. No 6f drills and only the last two are the typical Baffert style
#4 Southern Man 12-1 Speedy, Fit and now on home track. Like better then Frank


5. To single or not single…..that is the question.
#6 Chanel My Belle 2-1 May have to single and pray. If she comes close to repeating last effort she crushes these. Love that one was at 6.5f and she can stay right off the #4 and take over turning for home. Bred for Turf/Dirt, which does well on All Weather.
#4 It’s Another Story 3-1 Speed of the speed, but not sure she can hold on stretching out from 5.5 to 6.5f
#7 Catblewbyu 12-1 Will be close enough to the first group and could be the only one left standing at the wire.
#3 Happy Celyna 6-1 This will go off closer to 10-1 and could plod along in time if the race falls apart with the 6,4,8 going psycho up front.


6. Most difficult race of the night – Tough One Part 1
#3 Legate 9-2
#5 Repetoire 8-1 Can stalk the quick pace and while lacks a real closing kick may just need to pick up the pieces.
#9 Fortunate Victory 15-1 His dam has dropped a turf winner and a stakes winner, and this one is fit and has the tactical speed to be close enough.
#8 Isipingo 6-1 Great first time out and poor effort going 9f last time. Espinoza gets off, not good, but I can’t help but think if Baze can keep this one off the pace and come with one run he may surprise.

7. Another Tough One Part 2

#3 Watch Me Win 5-2 Nice, but no lock
#5 Awesome Beginning 8-1 Back class and speed figs, and check out that April 21st drill……
#1 Silber 5-1 Will get a bigger price and not sure about this one. By Bertando, should take to the surface. Just hope the race sets up for her.
#6 So Happy Together 30-1 Interesting price play - never run this low and if regains form close to last spring she could really rock the boat.

8. Another Tough One Part 3

#2 Really Indian 3-1
#3 Mister T 6-1
#1 Entry
#4 St. Chrisjon


9. Another Tough One Part 4

#8 Stompin Gia 7-2 scratched at SA a bit back to race on the all weather here
#3 Chestnut Chips 15-1 Sneaky Trainer and LOVE the work pattern.
#7 Fleur De Lune 4-1 6yr old will love the added dist and will be around late
#9 Leith Code 12-1



Ticket (awaiting changes)
4)
5)
6)
7)
8)
9)

[Rudeboyelvis]

Originally Posted by Scav

We are no where near alike in this sequence....

Yeah.....probably jumped the gun.....the more I look at this, the more I'm rethinking those singles; especially the 2 in the 8th - gonna wait for scratches and may reasess the sicha-tation

Edit: And tossing the 10 in the 4th in favor of the 1

Wow this was a doozy.

1,6,10
6,7
5
3,5
3
2,7

Good luck!